Originally Posted by rsigley
just looking at random points is bad overall, but worse in the pre season IMO
i would tease basically every udog cept washington and tampa game
Do you mean looking at random points in time as opposed to looking shortly before the game? If so, yea I didn't actually make any bets yet. I was just checking out the lines looking for possible BS teasers.
Or did you mean looking for certain point spreads? I was just trying to pick out the BS teasers. Just picking out those point spreads should generally be fine, no?
Or did you mean something else?
Is the reason you think teasing basically all dogs is good because the totals are so low? Is that what pushes the math to being +ev to just tease all dogs getting a decent number of points?
As for Washington and Tampa: Do you think that doing 6.5 point teasers on a +1 generally isn't good? I don't really think that I have the ability to analyze all the different games for teasers and come up with the percent chance to win. I'll basically just stick with the BS teasers and at +1 a 6.5 point teaser does cross the 3 and the 7. Plus in these specific games the totals are low of course.
Lastly, Pinnacle has Tampa at pk (+100) I would think that if another book has Tampa at +1 then doing a 6.5 point teaser would be pretty good. No? You're getting an extra point from the Pinnacle line and with the 6.5 points on the teaser you cross the 3 and the 7.