NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. - Page 29 - Sports Betting

very very small profit night.

I knew the Over 2nd H was the play, it started at 107pts but quickly went up to 109pts and I ended up betting the U 109pts cuz I thought there was a middle between my O 218 and U 225 which there was, but I recalled way too many 2nd H bets I've made where that damn 1 pt or even 0.5 pt line movement didn't hit and screwed me. Also knew that Gasol O1.5 assists was the play but thought I was over thinking things and didn't wanna risk significant funds on some stupid player prop out of the blue.

Anyone have tips on when you just can't get out of ur own head?

If I can't get out of my head, I don't bet it. I think the main thing is, for me, is to not go crazy on the math and stats. I mathed the hell out of some games a round or two ago... None of them were close and I lost. If your gut says one thing, and the math is close, do it. I really haven't been wrong much in the past 3 weeks since i started listening to myself .

Is why I didn't bet the main over or the big spread. In hindsight... I could have made another 30 units, but I'm good with 14. That's like 124 units for the week.

Quote

05-22-2017 , 11:33 PM

#702

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

dang, what kind of 2nd H line did you get? I saw it at 109 which easily hit early 4th Q.

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05-22-2017 , 11:34 PM

#703

FrankyRizzo

adept

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 971

I got it late 109.5

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05-22-2017 , 11:35 PM

#704

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Quote:

Originally Posted by FrankyRizzo

Wow thank you Anderson for banging that 3 with 10 seconds left haha. The teaser is alive!

Won Nashville ML and over 2h

Woo..

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05-22-2017 , 11:36 PM

#705

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Anyone bet the specials for 240+points lol

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05-23-2017 , 12:16 AM

#706

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jackitos

Anyone bet the specials for 240+points lol

Think saw alternative O/U line of 227.5 at +230, easily covers

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05-23-2017 , 12:19 AM

#707

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

That's hot.
I may retire from betting until football season. I'm not betting finals, I just wanna enjoy the series.

Not sure what i wanna bet for the final 2 cavs games. I'm up so much in the past 2 weeks , that I kind of just want to cash out and use the cash. Just sick heater.

This is the first year that I've bet basketball, ever. So, this is kinda nice that I'm doing it during playoffs and running good.

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05-23-2017 , 10:03 AM

#708

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

So far, this is what I got..

Gonna keep going with the trend of this series, and we'll see.

Every game, even the one where Lebron didn't even try, they busted the 1q and 1h overs.

I think Lebron gonna be angry this game, and just put on a clinic. I'm not sure on the spreads. May take the -10 1H, still doing thinking.

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05-23-2017 , 10:10 AM

#709

FrankyRizzo

adept

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 971

I was actually thinking 1Q over 53 and cavs team total over 116.5

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05-23-2017 , 10:28 AM

#710

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

That might be a better route too. I'll add those in and just have more money at risk!

Now we're risking 18.5u to win 16u.
I always do this lol

Letting this ride..

I may look at props when my bookie releases them, but I'm already risking more than what I meant to.

Last edited by Jackitos; 05-23-2017 at 10:52 AM.

Quote

05-23-2017 , 10:55 AM

#711

FrankyRizzo

adept

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 971

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jackitos

That might be a better route too. I'll add those in and just have more money at risk!

Now we're risking 18.5u to win 16u.
I always do this lol

Letting this ride..

I may look at props when my bookie releases them, but I'm already risking more than what I meant to.

haha no self control!

Quote

05-23-2017 , 11:03 AM

#712

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Quote:

Originally Posted by FrankyRizzo

haha no self control!

I got issues man.

I'm up enough that I'm ok with it. Even losing these 4 bets is only 6 unit downswing from yesterday.

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05-23-2017 , 11:37 AM

#713

FrankyRizzo

adept

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 971

weve all been there before! id like only have 2 diff wagers at risk tonight since i still have that teaser sweat going, trying to narrow it down and decide.

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05-23-2017 , 12:08 PM

#714

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

def like the Over especially 1st H line, even without IT it went 116 pts last game and earlier in the season @ CLE it went 119, and 125 pts.

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05-23-2017 , 02:45 PM

#715

FrankyRizzo

adept

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 971

what about cavs 1h team o 57 ?

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05-23-2017 , 02:47 PM

#716

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

In the previous 3 games, they scored 66, 72, and 61.

So, it's super possible they get over 57 at half.

Quote

05-23-2017 , 03:09 PM

#717

FrankyRizzo

adept

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 971

okay grabbed that and gonna resist til 2h haha

Quote

05-23-2017 , 04:26 PM

#718

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jackitos

In the previous 3 games, they scored 66, 72, and 61.

So, it's super possible they get over 57 at half.

And 68, 66 at home in the regular season matchups.

They had 50, and 57 pts at BOS in the other reg season matchups but those games were without Love, JR or Thompson.

They had 62*, 62*, 52, 61 at half in the Toronto playoff games and 66*, 63*, 74, 58 at half in the Indiana playoff games. Completely different teams but all with defenses as bad as Boston if not way better. (* noting the home games).

Good find that's a good one.

Last edited by ProfBets; 05-23-2017 at 04:34 PM.

Quote

05-23-2017 , 04:28 PM

#719

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Forgot to bet the over at final. Picked it up at 217.5

So i got 20 units on this game all various overs lol

Quote

05-23-2017 , 04:38 PM

#720

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Damn it's 59 pts at my place

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05-23-2017 , 04:44 PM

#721

FrankyRizzo

adept

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 971

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfBets

Damn it's 59 pts at my place

it was 57.5 about 90 mins ago at mine

Quote

05-23-2017 , 04:46 PM

#722

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Up to this...
I NEED TO STOP..
4 UNITS PER BET

If cavs don't score the **** out of things, I lose lol

Quote

05-23-2017 , 05:01 PM

#723

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

hah GL

I got some CLE 1st H spread, that O59 pts and random parlay w/PITT and O for full game.

I think I like the O on the full game a tad bit more then 1st H...2 of the 5 times they covered the Over in this series both playoff and reg season it would of gone Under at half. But not super concerning.

Last edited by ProfBets; 05-23-2017 at 05:07 PM.

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05-23-2017 , 06:04 PM

#724

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

I made more bets. I'm really uneasy on the game now.

8 bets total. Around 36u risking to win 32u.

Various overs in 1q,1h, etc. Think I even took cavs -7 1q and -10.5 1h.