NBA 2016-17 regular season picks, discussion etc. - Page 20 - Sports Betting

Think ya coulda made money just betting the alternative lines on both sides for this whole HOU/SA series...an alternative line at over +300 or +345 woulda hit in every game except game 5. Crazy.

Had some Spurs +285 ML but not gonna lie that was in anticipation of Kawhi playing and thinking it would go down when that was announced. No way in hell I wanted any part of it w/o Kawhi.

Ready for this series to be over not gonna lie. So unpredictable.

Quote

05-11-2017 , 10:49 PM

#477

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Yah, this series was pretty unpredictable. I had a huge swing because of it.

Something like went from +15 units to - 10 and now I'm like +8

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05-12-2017 , 02:09 AM

#478

just_mo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

L4: 1-5, -5.6u
PTD: 11-18, -4.9u

Had 2u on Spurs series but I only posted for one so

PTD: 12-18, -3.9u

Spurs/Dubs price is...interesting.

Quote

05-12-2017 , 09:49 AM

#479

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

I went a little bit of a binger on gut feelings for the Celts game tonight.
We're gonna see how it plays out.

Celts ML 4 units +180
Celts 1H +3 4 units -110

Quote

05-12-2017 , 07:33 PM

#480

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jackitos

I went a little bit of a binger on gut feelings for the Celts game tonight.
We're gonna see how it plays out.

Celts ML 4 units +180
Celts 1H +3 4 units -110

GL. All the history points at the home team winning and covering, BOS has yet to win @ WAS in the regular season or in this playoff series (and it hasn't even been close ever).

Also that 1st H bet is even worse, historically. BOS would of only covered that 2 of 9 games, even in the BOS wins, they've been down at half 3 of the 5 times.

But a random obscure and possibly irrelevant stat I dug up is the Wizards haven't won a home playoff game facing elimination since the late 80s hah, and you would be fading the public. Might go with you, not sure yet.

Last edited by ProfBets; 05-12-2017 at 07:43 PM.

Quote

05-12-2017 , 07:41 PM

#481

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

I'm just thinking that Boston closes it out. I think I saw a star about winner of game 5 in 7 game series goes on to win the series like 80%of the time .

Quote

05-12-2017 , 07:48 PM

#482

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jackitos

I'm just thinking that Boston closes it out. I think I saw a star about winner of game 5 in 7 game series goes on to win the series like 80%of the time .

Well they could still win the series in game 7 still/not this game and that trend would still hold up.

These trends that have been steady throughout the first few games of a lot of these different series have been completely off in close out games though.

Quote

05-12-2017 , 09:37 PM

#483

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfBets

WE GOT 1!

1 more left

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05-12-2017 , 10:44 PM

#484

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

John Wall is a beast. Gg

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05-12-2017 , 10:54 PM

#485

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

I had O 103.5 1st H and naturally it sets an all time low for the series, regular season or playoffs.

Had BOS ML too, **** John Wall. He was 8 of 24 shooting and 1 of 4 on 3s, WAS was 4 for 23 on 3s before that shot, real smart.

At least u had the BOS +3 1st H

This was fun to see right now;
ESPN Stats and Information

John Wall's shot was the first game-tying or go-ahead 3-pt FG in the final 10 seconds of an elimination game since Ray Allen against the Spurs in Game 6 of the 2013 Finals for the Heat

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05-12-2017 , 11:02 PM

#486

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Yah, I feel I got hosed by this terrible team. I shouldn't have gotten greedy and taken the points.

Quote

05-12-2017 , 11:04 PM

#487

OMGmartingale

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 440

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfBets

Also, John Wall was 0-6 lifetime on game tying or go ahead 3s before that shot. That 3 pointer was a -7u swing for me as I live bet celtics pretty heavily over the course of the game. So gross.

Quote

05-12-2017 , 11:05 PM

#488

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

They had a what 5-6 min drought in 2nd Q and were shooting 35% the lowest they've ever shot in a half so far in the playoffs? There was a million ways they coulda won, it is what it is. BOS ML was still the play.

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05-12-2017 , 11:07 PM

#489

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Quote:

Originally Posted by OMGmartingale

Also, John Wall was 0-6 lifetime on game tying or go ahead 3s before that shot. That 3 pointer was a -7u swing for me as I live bet celtics pretty heavily over the course of the game. So gross.

Disgusting. The 2nd H woulda covered at least tho yea? Think I saw it at +4.5 for 2nd H.

Quote

05-13-2017 , 03:11 PM

#490

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

I need to stop placing bets when I'm tired.
I just randomly last night some time placed this bet, without knowing if Leonard is playing, or even thinking about it.

2T 6FB-4BK PTS.TIE+WIN=NO BET
[501] SAN ANTONIO SPURS +14½-110 (B+4)
[501] TOTAL o207-110 (B+4)
(SAN ANTONIO SPURS vrs GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS)

4.5 units

Like, I guess my thinking is that the spurs don't get blown out by 15+?
I think it's ok.

I'm kinda thinking about taking Spurs +6.5 1H.
Not sure, maybe seems gamblely.

Quote

05-15-2017 , 10:16 AM

#491

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

Easy win yesterday. No sweating.

Celts -5 9 units

Quote

05-15-2017 , 10:19 AM

#492

FrankyRizzo

adept

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 971

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jackitos

Easy win yesterday. No sweating.

Celts -5 9 units

haha

atleast 2h gsw was easy for the taking

Quote

05-15-2017 , 10:21 AM

#493

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

I didn't have time to actually bet the 2h. Kinda sad.

Leaning on the over and celts - 3 1h. Not sure yet.

Quote

05-15-2017 , 03:26 PM

#494

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Think the play is BOS -5 ultimately but think there's def value on WAS to win 1st/ BOS to win the game at +450. In 3 of the 4 BOS home games, WAS has been leading at half and BOS ultimately wins and covers in the 2nd.

Also gotta like the over on paper, especially at home it would of hit the current number in 5 of 5 times including reg season and playoff matchups. However, seems these close out games have been going under a lot lately so I'm a bit hesitant.

Quote

05-15-2017 , 03:34 PM

#495

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jackitos

I didn't have time to actually bet the 2h. Kinda sad.

Leaning on the over and celts - 3 1h. Not sure yet.

BOS -3 1st H would of only hit in 2 of the 10 times these teams have met including reg season and playoffs. WAS ML 1st H would of even hit in 6 of the 10 times, and when it was tied at half in game 4, Gortat missed 2 wide open putbacks right before half so could of easily been 7 of 10.

But then again don't listen to me in your final decision, your 1st H bets have been crushing lately hah

Quote

05-15-2017 , 03:42 PM

#496

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

I'm just kind of expecting a blow out. Boston gotta be pissed that they lost in that way from last game.

Quote

05-15-2017 , 04:00 PM

#497

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jackitos

I'm just kind of expecting a blow out. Boston gotta be pissed that they lost in that way from last game.

Could easily go like that too. Who knows what WAS team is gonna show up.

Quote

05-15-2017 , 04:26 PM

#498

Jackitos

srs biz

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 17,561

I'm gonna wimp out on 1h and prolly bet 2h if it suits me. Did this though instead.
Gonna hate myself at half time though.

PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
[715] TOTAL o211½-110*
(WASHINGTON WIZARDS vrs BOSTON CELTICS)
[716] BOSTON CELTICS -5-110

2 units to win 5.2 units