Quote:
Originally Posted by just_mo
Man I would buy someone a drink if they told me they had Magic +5. Holy hell what a beat.
True story: Monday night had decent sized bets on Mavs - 3.5 and - 210 on the in play moneyline. Dallas up 13 with 3 min left and doesn't score another point, loses by 1
Tonight I had the Magic in play moneyline - 310
All bets were placed mid 3q so I essentially top ticked the market, so to speak. Disgusting. Westbrook basically raped my soul twice in 3 nights, and I think both games were the exact same score of 91-78 mid 4q before the bottom fell out.
Dumb rant/tldr:
I just don't understand how you can collapse like that. Like Dallas is up 13, 3 min left and doesn't score a single point?? The odds of that have to be 1000/1 or higher. Not even a single free throw, just pathetic. All they had to do at the end was inbound and hit free throws and its over. Oops.
Then the magic have Vuc on the line up 2 with 10 sec left. After he hits the first ft, you basically need just ONE of:
a made ft
A missed 3 pt fg by the thunder
A make after the thunder hit a 3
Or at worst, if all else fails, you STILL get overtime where the in play line was like +125 for the magic.
What are the odds at that point? 70% made ft, let's say 60% favorite to fade the 3, 5% to win in regulation if they make a 3, roughly 40% equity if it goes ot. Something like 15/1 minimum. One game after pulling off basically the exact same feat. Unreal.