Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
National Basketball Association 2011-12 National Basketball Association 2011-12

01-20-2012 , 05:53 PM
Time to get some of these lost units back!

Season 13-22: 6.75 units.

Suns +250 1 unit to win 2.5 units
Lakers +165 (match up well with Orlando imo) 1 unit to win 1.65 units
Hawks +210 1 unit to win 2.1 units

And the rare 2 team parlay,

Grizzlies -190 & Bulls -220 1 unit to win 1.44 units. Good luck tonight!
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-20-2012 , 10:40 PM
why did indiana drop from -3 to -1 ?
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-20-2012 , 10:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jnegrete
why did indiana drop from -3 to -1 ?
Steph Curry's return could have something to do with it, not sure.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-20-2012 , 11:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CamelFish
I created a post the other day on this exact topic...Unfortunately no one saw it.

From game 1 of the season to the beginning of this week, unders were something like 60.1%
So the question is, is rust wearing off and are the lines starting to overcompensate for the high % of unders that hit so far?
Is there actually maybe more reason to start going over in the next week or so?

What do you think.
This is not JonFon's bet the over's some of the time system. It's bet the under on every game all season. I'm going to stick with it.

I think it has more to do with lots of people betting the overs, the overs moving to bigger numbers and then not covering. Books make money that way. Just a guess tho.

It's working really well so far today. I'm about to head to work and I'm 5-2 on games that are finished, have good equity in one still going, decent equity in the other, and 2 games yet to start.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-21-2012 , 06:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyFondue
Adding my first round of unders bets. I think I got lucky at work when I checked the lines and bet them, they look like they are at good totals and hopefully most won't go much higher. I made these bets about an hour ago:

Portland Trailblazers/Toronto Raptors Under 180 -105* W
Denver Nuggets/Washington Wizards Under 206 -105* L
Atlanta Hawks/Philadelphia 76ers Under 185½ -105* W
Milwaukee Bucks/New York Knicks Under 190½ -101* W
Memphis Grizzlies/Detroit Pistons Under 180½ -105* W
Sacramento Kings/San Antonio Spurs Under 197 -106* W
Indiana Pacers/Golden State Warriors Under 191½ -102* W

For to win 1u (obv)


ETA: My System record is 31-28 (+1.46u) my mistake

Here are the bets I just made:

Chicago Bulls/Cleveland Cavaliers Under 186 -105* L
Phoenix Suns/Boston Celtics Under 183 -105* W
Los Angeles Lakers/Orlando Magic Under 182½ -102* W
Minnesota Timberwolves/Los Angeles Clippers Under 190½ -105* L

And I was wrong, pretty much all my bets moved in the wrong direction in just an hour >
BOOM! 8-3 today! +4.85u

Ran well but I'm glad I finally had a good day on this system.

JonFons NBA Unders System YTD:

39-31 (+6.31u)

I wish I woulda started at the beginning of the season
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-21-2012 , 06:20 AM
Almost every game last night hit the under
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-21-2012 , 12:10 PM
Atl -7.5
Mia/Phi o193.5
Den -2
Den/NY o206
San/Hou u192
Cha/Chi u185
tw 1u

Utah -6.5
tw 2u

74-73-1 -2.8u ytd
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-21-2012 , 06:05 PM
Season 15-24: -4.81 units.

Bunch more ML dogs..

Pistons +260 1 unit to win 2.6 units
Hornets +200 1 unit to win 2 units
Spurs +140 1 unit to win 1.4 units
T'Wolves +255 1 unit to win 2.55 units

Good luck!

Last edited by 20Five; 01-21-2012 at 06:29 PM.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-21-2012 , 07:51 PM
Aight here's what I'm on today:

I reallly like Denver at Knicks today only giving up 2.5 points. And I like the juice so I bet 5.7u on:

Denver Nuggets -2½ -101* vs New York Knicks

And my daily under bets:

Cleveland Cavaliers/Atlanta Hawks Under 187½ -105*
Philadelphia 76ers/Miami Heat Under 193 -108*
Portland Trailblazers/Detroit Pistons Under 179½ -108*
Denver Nuggets/New York Knicks Under 207 -103*
Sacramento Kings/Memphis Grizzlies Under 190 -109*
Dallas Mavericks/New Orleans Hornets Under 172 -105*
San Antonio Spurs/Houston Rockets Under 190½ -105*
Oklahoma City Thunder/New Jersey Nets Under 201 -102*
Charlotte Bobcats/Chicago Bulls Under 184 -105*
Minnesota Timberwolves/Utah Jazz Under 191 -106*

All to win 1u.

Lets keep the run goot going, kplzthx bai
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-21-2012 , 09:40 PM
Yikes Basically every bet I made today is on pace to lose

:/
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-22-2012 , 02:15 AM
i might be off by 1 but it looks like your o/u went like 2-7-1 for 1u each but you won your much bigger play. doesn't look that bad

let me remind you i had a literal 0-9 day which probably nobody else in this thread has sucked hard enough to do. be glad you are better than me
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-22-2012 , 03:28 AM
Damn blanko. That's awful. I know a guy who owned a book a long time ago and if you did a 10 team parlay and went 0-10 it paid something like +7500 or something lol.

Yeah you're right I chopped the Bulls game under, got smashed on the most of the under bets but the Nuggets saved my day. Hurt my system record quite a bit, tho.

And Holy FFFF.

Did anyone watch that Nuggets game?

My equity in covering the -2.5 spread was soooo small so many times.

It was such a weird spot for me. There was one point where the Nuggets were up by 2 with just a few seconds left. I actually had to route for the Knicks to make a shot so the game would go into overtime. Stuff like that kept happening.

I got suuuuper lucky on that. One. Hooray!

JonFon's Bet The Under On Every NBA Game System:

YTD: 41-38-1 (+0.87u)

The Bad News: I got smashed on this system for over 5u today.

The Good News: I've done well enough to far to be slightly up.

Yay!
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-22-2012 , 05:28 AM
Melo says may have to reevaluate whether to sit out games to rest aches. -- Betropolitan (@Betropolitan)

Deep heat ftw, what a pussy! multi million$ salary not enough motivation??
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-22-2012 , 05:41 AM
Hmmm which is better:

Sit out a few games and come back healthy or progress to a worse state and eff up your whole season, then possibly be forced to retire early costing yourself millions.

But I mostly agree with you.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-22-2012 , 11:57 AM
Season 16-27: -5.21 units
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-22-2012 , 01:27 PM
CHB/NJN Under 192 1u
Charlotte Bobcats +5

YTD: NBA: 8-4-1
NFL: 3-0
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-22-2012 , 02:50 PM
Ah crap I forgot to post my under bet on this Celtics game before it started. I made these bets a while ago. Hopefully I'll get some leeway since I'm simple sticking with the plan I outlined. Here is what I have so far:

Celtics/Wizards Under 184.5 (-105)

Raptors/Clippers Under 184 (-105)

Bucks/Heat under 194.5 (-103)

I pwned the closing line on the Celtics game by 5 points, my biggest margin of beating a line ever. Could beat it by 6 if I got it right at opening.

Somehow the Raps/Clips game opened at a higher total and is at a higher total than that currently. I dunno how bad I suck to do that meh.

The heat line has also dropped a point since I bet it so thats good for now

Last edited by JohnnyFondue; 01-22-2012 at 02:50 PM. Reason: All for 1u obv
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-22-2012 , 04:00 PM
LAC -8
NJ -5
tw 2u

80-74-1 +3.1u ytd
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-22-2012 , 05:40 PM
Damn, beat the closing line by 5 points and still lost. Lol oh well

I usually run hot later if I start cold. Yay!
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-22-2012 , 07:32 PM
Season 16-27: -5.21 units

Pacers +205 1 unit to win 2.05 units.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-23-2012 , 01:35 AM
Dang I got all buzzed up and forgot to bet the under on the Laker game. Heh, good thing. I guess that makes up for the under I forgot to bet that woulda won.

I ended up tailing you on that Pacers ML for a couple units, was a good pick, thanks. I was originally just going to take the points but then said f it.

I had a bunch on the heat tho, I can't seem to win when I bet on or against them
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-23-2012 , 11:05 AM
Season 17-27: -3.16 units.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-23-2012 , 12:05 PM
Hey JF.. glad I could find a winner for you..

Love your system and attitude in this thread.. look forward to seeing how you do.

As for my 'system', if you can kinda see the trent I generally look for bets in this order:

1. Moneyline Dogs
2. Dogs + points
3. Moneyline Favs
4. Totals
5. Favorites - points.

Going back a couple of years I've found I almost always get the best results this way..

I know depending on how you interpret your games you may prefer spreads of the price of the ML, but for me, looking for ML dogs is almost always where I do best.

Good luck man!
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-23-2012 , 01:02 PM
I like ML dogs, but I like them because I like to gambool and I really like to root for underdogs.

Any ML plays today you like?

The Nets are +1100, and while they really suck, Taj Gibson, Derrick Rose, Joakim Noah, and Lucas III are all injured, don't know if they will play or how they will do if they do. Pretty banged up team.

They might win like 1 in 8 here ya?

As for smaller plays:

Rockets are +125 at the T wolves. This feels like good value, as it seems like the Rockets should be winning this game slightly more than 50% of the time

Suns are +200 at Mavericks. Feels like enough value to bet this here as well, esp without Dirk playing.

Any thoughts?
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-23-2012 , 01:18 PM
1-23
YTD 31-23-2
Units +4.6

Phx +6 No Dirk or Carter tonight. the suns are playing well on the road I think they can keep it close.

Was +13.5. 76ers are on of my favorite teams. I think this number is a bit off Was has be more competetive in thelast few games tho it has not accounted for wins i think 13.5 is a bit too much.

May have one or two more
Gl guys
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote

      
m