Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
National Basketball Association 2011-12 National Basketball Association 2011-12

01-11-2012 , 01:57 PM
sac/tor u189 -105
dal/bos u183.5 -105
hou/sas u199 -105
njn/den u198 -105 to win 2u
orl/por o185 -107

9-6 +2.57u

feel like there are a lot of very sharp lines today, gl all
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-11-2012 , 08:56 PM
I found something interesting on 5dimes. I'll be interested to hear your thoughts.

They offer multi-chance pleaser tickets. I'll use one in particular for my example:

It's a 6 point giveaway, if you do a 9 teamer, getting 6-9 right pays +1000.

There's a lot of variance in NBA final game totals. Since you only have to go 6-3 to win 10x your money, I had a thought:

What if I please 9 games and take the over for 1u and please the same 9 games and take the under for 1 u.

I obv have a decent sized polish middle, but if I just go 6-3 I'm up 8u. You could hit it once every few days and still show profit. Plus the standard deviation for NBA totals is (I think) a little bit more than 12.

Thoughts?
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-11-2012 , 09:03 PM
I'm not familar with pleasers, bc I never used an online book, and local bookies don't offer them (afaik) Haven't actually inquired about them.

1/11 plays...

Lakers over Jazz (1.2u tw 1u)
Heat over Clippers (1.5u tw 1u)
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-11-2012 , 09:07 PM
yuck...76ers getting handled by the Knicks after the 1st quarter
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-11-2012 , 09:08 PM
Well I'll have to crunch the numbers, but pleasing and total and spread costs/pays the same. But it doesn't seem like they are equal.

If a team is -3, you have to please them to -9.

This seems way harder to hit than taking a total from 188 to 194 and taking the over.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-11-2012 , 09:11 PM
Derrick Rose not playing tonight
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-11-2012 , 11:23 PM
Season 7-19 -10.6 units

Heat -150 risking 1.5 units to win 1 unit.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-12-2012 , 02:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SchererBoy
I'm not familar with pleasers, bc I never used an online book, and local bookies don't offer them (afaik) Haven't actually inquired about them.

1/11 plays...

Lakers over Jazz (1.2u tw 1u)
Heat over Clippers (1.5u tw 1u)
1-1 tonight... -1u.... **** you refs and heat free throws.

+12u for the season
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-12-2012 , 02:51 AM
Wow.. Lebron looked ragged late in the game tonight.. Heat definitely don't deserve the win shooting that poorly from the free throw line.

Not sure why Dwade wasn't getting the nods, Bron was just failing.

Season 7-20 -12.1 units.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-12-2012 , 02:00 PM
Ok so I'm a confirmed NBA fish, down like 30u or something this season.

From now on, I'm taking the under in every game for the rest of the season to win 1u.

Charlotte Bobcats/Atlanta Hawks Under 182 -105*
Detroit Pistons/Milwaukee Bucks Under 178 -107*
New York Knicks/Memphis Grizzlies Under 194 -105*
Cleveland Cavaliers/Phoenix Suns Under 198 -105*
Orlando Magic/Golden State Warriors Under 187½ -103*

I'm guaranteeing profit on this system. It'll be close (maybe 1% roi) but with enough volume it's a home run. I'll keep track of how I do on this system.

As far as bets today I am also on:

Atlanta Hawks -8 -105*
Cleveland Cavaliers +7 -107*

And:

Atlanta Hawks 1st Half -4½ -105*

All bet are to win 1u
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-12-2012 , 02:16 PM
cha/atl o181.5 -102
nyk/mem o194 -106
cle/phx u197.5 -103
orl/gsw u187.5 -105

12-7-1 +3.47u
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-12-2012 , 02:43 PM
NY/Mem u194.5
Orl/GS u187.5
tw 1u

Atl/Cha o181
tw 2u

Atl -8
tw 3u

45-45-1 -2.5u ytd
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-12-2012 , 04:42 PM
Al Horford is out for the season, JF.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-12-2012 , 08:31 PM
Season 7-20 -12.1 units.

Knicks ML +155 1 unit to win 1.55 units
Cavs/Suns Over 197 1.05 to win 1 unit.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-12-2012 , 09:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SchererBoy
1-1 tonight... -1u.... **** you refs and heat free throws.

+12u for the season
Messed that up, I lost .5u last night and +12.5 for the season.

1/12 play..

Magic (-150) @ Warriors (1.5u tw 1u)
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-13-2012 , 02:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyFondue
Ok so I'm a confirmed NBA fish, down like 30u or something this season.

From now on, I'm taking the under in every game for the rest of the season to win 1u.

Charlotte Bobcats/Atlanta Hawks Under 182 -105* L
Detroit Pistons/Milwaukee Bucks Under 178 -107* L
New York Knicks/Memphis Grizzlies Under 194 -105* W
Cleveland Cavaliers/Phoenix Suns Under 198 -105* W
Orlando Magic/Golden State Warriors Under 187½ -103* L

I'm guaranteeing profit on this system. It'll be close (maybe 1% roi) but with enough volume it's a home run. I'll keep track of how I do on this system.

As far as bets today I am also on:

Atlanta Hawks -8 -105* W
Cleveland Cavaliers +7 -107*. W

And:

Atlanta Hawks 1st Half -4½ -105*. W

All bet are to win 1u
Ended the day +1.85u

JonFons Bet The Under On Every Game Sytem is 2-3-0 (-1.15u)
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-13-2012 , 09:41 AM
JonFons Bet The Under On Every Game System:

Picks so far:

Trailblazers/Spurs Under 193 (-105)
Bucks/Mavericks Under 184 (-105)
Timberwolves/Hornets Under 182.5 (-105)

Best value on lines available to me atm, will add more later

ETA: adding

Pistons/Bobcats under 177 (-105)
Cavaliers/Lakers Under 187 (-105)

All for 1u

Last edited by JohnnyFondue; 01-13-2012 at 09:50 AM.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-13-2012 , 10:35 AM
Wow since I bet under 187 in the lakers game it has moved to 190. Freakin yikes.

Adding Wizards/76ers under 183 (-102)
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-13-2012 , 12:23 PM
Phi -13.5
Det/Cha o177.5
Ind/Tor o178
PHX -6.5
Mia/Den o210
tw 1u

48-46-1 +2.4u ytd
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-13-2012 , 12:30 PM
Bah, I'm taking up too many posts. I'll try and just wait til I have all mine entered before I list em here. I added some more, here is a summary of my bets today:

Straight bets on teams ATS:

San Antonio Spurs -1½ -102
Minnesota Timberwolves -1 -106

And for my JonFons Bet The Under On Every Game System:

New Jersey Nets/Phoenix Suns Under 195½ -105*
Indiana Pacers/Toronto Raptors Under 178 -101*
Chicago Bulls/Boston Celtics Under 178 -105*
Sacramento Kings/Houston Rockets Under 198½ -101*
Miami Heat/Denver Nuggets Under 210½ -103*
Washington Wizards/Philadelphia 76ers Under 183 -102*
Cleveland Cavaliers/Los Angeles Lakers Under 187 -105*
Detroit Pistons/Charlotte Bobcats Under 177 -105*
Portland Trailblazers/San Antonio Spurs Under 193 -105*
Milwaukee Bucks/Dallas Mavericks Under 184 -105*
Minnesota Timberwolves/New Orleans Hornets Under 182½ -105*

All to win 1u
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-13-2012 , 12:37 PM
Something screwy has been going on with the Wizards/76ers game all morning.

The line changes has been going crazy and now it went offline.
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-13-2012 , 03:27 PM
det/cha u180.5 -105
cha/bos o176.5 -105
sac/hou u200 -105
mil/dal o183.5 -105
njn/phx o195.5 -105 to win 2u
por/sas o194 -108 to win 2u

14-9-1 +3.38u
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-13-2012 , 05:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SchererBoy
Messed that up, I lost .5u last night and +12.5 for the season.

1/12 play..

Magic (-150) @ Warriors (1.5u tw 1u)
1-0 +1u for the night

+13.5u on the season

1/13 plays...

Blazers +1.5 @ Spurs (1u)
Heat (-160) @ Nuggets (1.6u tw 1u)
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-14-2012 , 08:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyFondue
Straight bets on teams ATS:

San Antonio Spurs -1½ -102 W
Minnesota Timberwolves -1 -106 W

And for my JonFons Bet The Under On Every Game System:

New Jersey Nets/Phoenix Suns Under 195½ -105* L
Indiana Pacers/Toronto Raptors Under 178 -101* L
Chicago Bulls/Boston Celtics Under 178 -105* W
Sacramento Kings/Houston Rockets Under 198½ -101* W
Miami Heat/Denver Nuggets Under 210½ -103* L
Washington Wizards/Philadelphia 76ers Under 183 -102* L
Cleveland Cavaliers/Los Angeles Lakers Under 187 -105* L
Detroit Pistons/Charlotte Bobcats Under 177 -105* L
Portland Trailblazers/San Antonio Spurs Under 193 -105* W
Milwaukee Bucks/Dallas Mavericks Under 184 -105* W
Minnesota Timberwolves/New Orleans Hornets Under 182½ -105* W

All to win 1u
Ended the day 6-5 (+0.79u)

JonFon's Bet The Under On Every Game system ytd:

7-9-0 (-2.36u)

I got destroyed on one closing line that cost me a Win (pistons/bobcats moved 5 points up after I bet the under, if I bet it there I woulda won).

But I also crushed the closing line on the Suns/Nets under and lost that anyway.

I'll update my bets for the day later
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote
01-14-2012 , 09:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SchererBoy
1-0 +1u for the night

+13.5u on the season

1/13 plays...

Blazers +1.5 @ Spurs (1u)
Heat (-160) @ Nuggets (1.6u tw 1u)
Bad picks last night, to go 0-2 for -2.6u

+10.9u for the season

Heat have lost 3 straight, Lakers have won 5 straight, Kobe's scored 40+ in the last 3 of those, so I'm still happy
National Basketball Association 2011-12 Quote

      
m