MMA Thread

[LasFuentes]

Lol rigtards. SI opened the line at -200ish and they're the type of book that limits you after winning one bet. They took it off after 2 days or so and reopened it. Regardless, the line is still off, Fed is value at anything below -5000.

The 2% loss rate should be broken down into 1.9% him losing from a cut, heart attack within the ring, twisting his ankle and any other miscellaneous. Then the remainder 0.1% of the time he will lose to Rizzo for any other reason other than a cut.

[just_mo]

Originally Posted by Machinehead

Bisping has good movement and Hendo landed repeatedly. Fedor too.

Hendo landed a few here and there. He wasn't tagging him with massive punches at will the way he did Shogun. Don't think the dude's knees are there any more.

Ross Pearson down to -195, can we expect that to keep dropping or do we jump on now?

[SwoopAE]

Pearsons -188 now

Gonna put a bit on now then hit it harder if he gets to -150 or so

[traz]

I'm feeling some value on guida. I kind of think he's a bad match up for Gray and can definitely win a guida-esque decision.

[SwoopAE]

I'm tempted as well not sure if ill do it though

[just_mo]

How is this a bad matchup for Maynard when he's better than Guida everywhere except submission offense?

[Gary Wise]

Has grey ever been taken down? if not, struggling to see a Guida path to victory.

[just_mo]

Ya can't see him winning outside of a bad judges' decision where he "outworks" aka wings punches at air repeatedly a la Leonard Garcia.

[traz]

meh Gray is better at striking and wrestling on paper but I'm not sure we'll actually see that on fight night. I think guida can negate him in both of those areas and win via energizer bunny.

[DodgerIrish]

Originally Posted by Gary Wise

Has grey ever been taken down? if not, struggling to see a Guida path to victory.

Pretty positive Edgar did it.

That being said, Guida is no Frankie

[just_mo]

lol on paper? Not in the cage, he's not better?

Nog out vs Kongo, guess his arm didn't heal. Tap faster dude...

[DannyOcean_]

how many times has Guida ever won a fight where he couldn't get on top of a fighter and control them for periods of time? honest question, memory is hazy about how some of his fights have gone.

I don't think he can do that to Maynard.

[DodgerIrish]

Dos Anjos is a pretty good fighter and he literally busted his jaw in the stand up.

He did proceed to get top position and press his forearm into it for a pain induced tap, but the damage was done on the feet.

That's about all I can remember tho

[SwoopAE]

Struve vs Miocic announced

Should be an amazing fight, first time i've been scared for Struve in a while, but he does have the tools to beat Miocic, honestly the best gameplan is stand for a bit then pull guard like he did against Johnson imo. Will be VERY interesting to see where the line opens there, either of them could be a decent fav imo, i'm expecting Miocic -140 since Struve basically always opens as a dog but who knows.

Getting tempted to get on Guida vs Maynard for some reason I just see him winning a decision via energiser bunny a lot, haven't pulled the trigger yet though.

Only pending bet atm is 1.5u on Pearson

[SwoopAE]

BJ Penn +232 vs Rory Mac... discussion time?

On the surface it looks tempting with BJ's solid TDD and the fact it's a 3 round fight.