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02-19-2017 , 10:45 PM
Someones been trying to get 5k+ down on Sicilia +143 for hours now at matchbook, yet +150 is just sitting there on 5d. Weird, must be someone who doesn't have that book.
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02-19-2017 , 10:47 PM
I changed my mind too many times on this fight so just going to pass on Theodorou/Mutante and cheer for Theodorou I think.

Decided to add a second unit on Lombard wins in r1 at +300 this time so +325 average now as the first unit was +350

Lombard r1, Hendricks r3 or draw plz.
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02-19-2017 , 11:02 PM
mutante looking good
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02-19-2017 , 11:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by broe
mutante looking good
I agree... but it's not over yet.

I live bet him at _+139 and bet him as a flip pre fight.

Added Lombard R1 to join Swoop. Mutante is massive.
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02-19-2017 , 11:08 PM
Mutante is so big and strong yet so bad at putting it all together

Gonna look at Theodorou think his cardios better if between rounds price good

edit: meh, -240 not good enough was hoping for more like -140

Mutante is so much more powerful and physically gifted, it's almost embarrassing for him if he doesn't win
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02-19-2017 , 11:09 PM
nice round for theodorou but his legs seem to hurt
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02-19-2017 , 11:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
Mutante is so big and strong yet so bad at putting it all together

Gonna look at Theodorou think his cardios better if between rounds price good

edit: meh, -240 not good enough was hoping for more like -140

Mutante is so much more powerful and physically gifted, it's almost embarrassing for him if he doesn't win
This.
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02-19-2017 , 11:12 PM
Mutante needs to train with Brock Lesnar and learn to shoot a power double leg takedown. He's going to lose a lackluster 29-28 and it's entirely his own fault.

Also does anyone else find it weird Sam Sicilia vs a guy making his debut is the #3 fight on the card over about half of the other fights today?
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02-19-2017 , 11:15 PM
What a frustrating fight lol.
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02-19-2017 , 11:16 PM
I guess Mutante wins due to trying and failing to lock in a RNC maybe? Or Theodorou's pressure on the feet earlier in the round... idk

Both guys stock is way down from what I thought of them prefight imo, Mutante has the physical gifts and Theodorou has the heart and grind, combined they'd make a good fighter but they're both just lacking.

I'm fine with my no bet decision even after watching it I have no idea what the best value bet was.

UD... i'm shocked Taleb didn't at least get a split with these judges in hindsight, although any 29-28 scorecard would have been fine here
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02-19-2017 , 11:18 PM
Mutante needs to learn to accept GNP instead of always needing to get the sub. It's called hedging and gets u "won rounds" when u do a bit of damage while keeping position.

Guys fight IQ is very poor.
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02-19-2017 , 11:18 PM
30-27 wtf throwing sloppy leg kicks in the air in round 1 and getting countered with every shot get you the round?
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02-19-2017 , 11:19 PM
Ehhh.. Feeling like I'm getting a bit unlucky with the scoring today. Both Esparza and Ferreira could have gone my way I think.
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02-19-2017 , 11:19 PM
Canadian bias is strong. I'm getting killed here.
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02-19-2017 , 11:23 PM
I'm 1-1 on iffy decisions and crushing it so far today... the McMann and Santos results were big as was the +775 livebet

Sicilia up next, gogogo then Lombard r1 (or Hendricks r3/draw) and Browne to close it out. The Canadian judging worries me a bit on Sicilia the way it's going but happy with the price.
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02-19-2017 , 11:24 PM
sam sicilia round 1 x 7.5 seems nice, I think as the fight progresses Tucker should dominate.
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02-19-2017 , 11:28 PM
I get the feeling that they are using Sicilia's name as a nice platform for this kid to knock his head off. I hate when the UFC does that.

So I'm betting Sicilia to beat the local pretty boy.

Also taking Sicillia via decision. Hopefully he can grind the kid down.
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02-19-2017 , 11:32 PM
Smart thing at this point would be to just bet the Canadian.
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02-19-2017 , 11:32 PM
To be honest a large part of me making this bet is whoever was just sitting there trying to get 8k down on Sicilia has to have a reason and i'm tailing that reason.

That and UFC caliber 50%er guy vs prospect tends to be a flip so take the dog which in this case is Sicilia

Interesting Tucker is 30 was assuming he'd be like 23 he's only a year younger than Sicilia
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02-19-2017 , 11:40 PM
Tried to hit fight goes to decision -205 inbetween rounds but missed it. Oh well.
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02-19-2017 , 11:42 PM
Tucker is way too fast, Sicilia is going to dance his way to a 30-27 loss here.
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02-19-2017 , 11:44 PM
Tucker is Cody Garbrandting him

30-27 Tucker incoming barring punchers chance
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02-19-2017 , 11:46 PM
Yeah Sicilia getting clowned here. Kid is too fast.
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02-19-2017 , 11:47 PM
He didn't change anything the first 2 rounds... I doubt he can get it done..
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02-19-2017 , 11:47 PM
Let's hope Sam listens to his corner: Live In-Play Sam Sicilia (+1300) vs Gavin Tucker $50.00 for $650.00
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