Originally Posted by Artdogg
unless you are putting a crapton of stock into TRT and Anderson's ribs, Anderson should not be a favorite over Chael, I can understand why the line is where it is though
The fight is 5 rounds, that's 5 rounds that start standing against the best striker in MMA and 5 rounds that Chael who has a history of being subbed has to sit in the guard of a BJJ black belt.
There's a very good Chael is winning the fight before he's finished, but Anderson has 5 rounds to finish him. Chael has one path to victory and that's 50-45 with five flawless takedowns and topcontrol/gnp (well, he could technically win by GNP or Sub, but I doubt it in both cases with Anderson's chin and BJJ black belt)
Line is pretty fair right now but if Anderson gets down to -200 i'll be putting a bet on (and may do anyway). Remember, bad matchup aside, this is Anderson f'n Silva we're talking about here.
I would bet a very large percentage of my net worth on Silva at evens. I think the true line is around -270/+270ish.