Quote:
Originally Posted by recondite7
This is a joke of a fight. Floyd is still most likely a favorite against anyone in the world at his weight class and Conor is not a professional boxer (until now).
Conor is an exceptional promoter and there is a huge contingent of fanboys that will bet on him no matter what. This is the only reason this line is not -2000 Mayweather.
This will go 1 or 2 rounds if Conor is actually trying to win and go for a KO. If Conor tries to just survive as long as possible it can maybe go 8.
Only risk in betting Mayweather here is some weird DQ or the extremely unlikely scenario where he takes a dive to set up a rematch.
I think the reason the line is where it is is not so much the threat of corruption, but more that people are concerned (enough to not be pounding -800, at least) that introducing a Bruce Lee-esque striker into boxing could be like introducing an invasive species into Australia or whatever. I mean, there haven't been many strikers like McGregor in the history of combats sports, so this is pretty unprecedented.
I'm loving the over 9.5 at plus money, personally. The only fight where Conor 'went for the KO' was his first one against Diaz, and I think he learned his lesson (also, given that this is a 36 minute fight, I highly doubt he will attempt a similar strategy). His entire gameplan is based off inducing and slip-and-ripping his opponent's right, which I doubt will work well against Mayweather, given that Mayweather is a very left-hand-focused orthodox. And since Mayweather is a counter-striker himself, I expect a very slow-paced fight where the rear hands cancel each other out, and McGregor gets outboxed with the front hand. He is very concerned about maintaining face, so I think he will be doing everything possible to avoid getting finished, even at the expense of entertainment value. Also, they're using 10 ouncers.
Last edited by The Don; 07-17-2017 at 06:53 AM.