Hi I have a question how to do a regression line please. I am trying to model how many points a NFL team will score in 1st half based on their full game line. I believe the relationship will be linear and as a team has a bigger full game line, they will score more points in the first half. However, some full game line points are worth more than others, for instance I expect a team to score relatively more points in the first half going from a full game line of 3.5 points to 4, as opposed to 4 to 4.5. I can even quantify how much more the 3.5 to 4 is worth as compared to 4 to 4.5.

Manually I believe I know how to correct my regression line but I am trying to create these regression lines dynamically so I'd like to know how to build these changes systematically into my regression line.

sorry if my explanation is poor or i am showing a misunderstanding somewhere, i am new to this, please ask if i am not clear somewhere, thanks!

The OP is about sports betting, moved to more appropriate forum.

lol

move it back

what do you do to keep getting banned?

This is awesome.

# of accounts before giving up

o/u 4.5 -120/-110

As a statistician, "how to do a regression line" is a more complex topic than can really be answered succinctly on a message board. In addition, based on what I think you are saying (not really sure), I'm not sure that linear regression would be the best model here.

awesome

Unluckyboy is the funniest poster in quite some time. This made my day

hey danny a couple of questions. what would you consider doing instead of a regression model?

what important terms should i be learning more about to do regressions properly? i am familiar with least squares, weighted regressions, and i kind of know of residuals. what should i be keeping in mind as i go forward?

P values of coefficients and the adjusted R squared

Hey iregress otherwise known as thebruiser500 and sayidthesavior.

I didn't ban you the last time. I was letting you stay. All you had to do was behave.

You were the idiot who posted a terrible thread in OOT. I didn't report it. I didn't do anything about it. Do you think maybe that thread is why you got banned?

Had nothing to do with me. I was there for you dude. Oh well.