wasnt Hbob in here recently? and I believe he offered a pretty big bet on all of this. if youre so sure of this stance, why not make some dough off of it?

Let me know when he does. I'd love some free money.

You sadly, can't remember **** because you aren't smart. He asked for me to book some action on NBA which is just lol, since everyone and their mother wants more offscreen vanilla action to originate on. I asked him to take an equal amount back on other markets and he disappeared without a trace. He is great at equivocating which fools meager minds like yours, so maybe he is the smart one?

I don't know. I guess I need to spend my time offering ****ty deals to syndicates betting openers to stop, then I can have an army of sycophants.

what is your IQ thremp? what do you plan to do in 5 years?

hey guys,

how often in baseball does the starting pitcher not start?

cheers

best to keep it quiet then for his instagram reputation im guessing

This is pretty darn impressive knowledge for an Aussie to justify some +ev political bets lol.

I'm a dual Aus/US citizen and did a pol sci degree at uni. Not that that makes me more qualified than actual experts, but I know more about US politics than the vast majority of Americans.

87. Retire.

From what I've gathered he likely makes several million a year from the promo shoots he does. (All those girls are paid. Meaning Dan is being paid by amateur porn stars/models/etc to get them coverage. Not vice versa.) I think he did a wonderful job leveraging a bunch of stolen money and a paper thin bull**** story on how he got it into a legitimate media business. It doesn't hurt that he likely really does enjoy having a great beard and guns, and probably has stopped assaulting escorts.

Herein lies the problem with utilizing polling data. Except it does reveal some insight into potential voter turnout. Trump supporters are ardent. Clinton supporters are more meh. As we know, modeling turnout is the real question to any election modeling so what do we do?!?

Narrative fallacy at its finest.

lol

If you have bets pending on Trump why not let us know how many units Mikhel so you can't claim you won 100 dodge rams on Clinton afterwards while posting about how Trump is value. If you legitimately think you're a great capper then i'm legitimately curious what your pending bets are so far this cycle - I have 13u to win 6.5u on Not Trump -200 personally. I expect to have a few senate bets closer to the election and some specific state props, but waiting until closer to election day for some of those.

I've been asked by moderation not interact with you due to the fact you bitch continuously causing him to go out of his way to ask me to not interact with you. I know you don't really respect anyone else and pan handle excessively, but at least don't troll the mods.

Thanks.

PS: I wouldn't piss on you if you were on fire. There is no ****ing chance I'm giving you a handout to slurp. If you wanna talk about what bets I have, try following some major board steam. You may be accurate or maybe not!

I'm fine with not interacting with you either at this point. For what it's worth I also had a discussion with the a mod and he thought it would be best if we didn't interact either due to the constant derailment of threads and I was perfectly happy with that.

I felt perhaps we could have a constructive conversation here and asked you out of legitimate curiosity what your position is/was here. I have no interest in tailing your positions, but after you recently came into the MMA thread to brag about how much you won on the event without posting your picks beforehand, I wanted to see if you were willing to post bets you've made after you've made them in this thread so that when you brag about how much you made this election cycle which we both know you will regardless of what the results are and what your positions actually are that your picks would be on the record.

I was mistaken in thinking we could be civil towards each other and I will never interact with you in any way again after this post beyond reporting any false and/or slanderous posts you make about me in the future. Ideally we never interact again. Rest assured the feeling is mutual, I think you are the lowest of scum as well and I know you feel that way about me too.

All the best in your future endeavours, I hope you win a lot of money betting on sports.

Solid trolling.

I hope you continue to fail in all things just like you have been doing previously. Atleast this time I hope you don't drag anyone else into it with your panhandling.

Posting picks and writeups is the ultimate n00b play. I do not know a single person who cares about either that I deem sharp. But ya, I guess that is what you value and your results speak for themselves.

PS: Solid bet to post that is totally off market. 8102831023u at Trump +4000 is my official position while we're making **** up.

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=1410

I posted on the forum a day after making it just not in this thread and the market had not moved in that time, in fact an even better price was available prior to the debate if I was going to make **** up. You never seem to post your bets after you've made them and before they win, you just brag about results.



Yes, I realise my unit size ($100 aud which is about $77 usd) is relatively small, congratulations for being super rich.

I don't see why many people would visit this forum if nobody posted their thoughts and analysis on any sport they're betting on, that's the whole point of a forum isn't it? If I wanted to only interact with people who are sharper than me, i'd ask my friends who are sharper than me for their advice on whatever the topic is. Given you deem everyone on this forum except Iowa to be an inferior life form, what are you even doing here?

Anyway, back to not interacting with each other, have a nice life.

You shouldn't have trouble finding people sharper than you to ask for advice.

Recs love writeups and pick threads. We have a bunch. I don't know any pro who does. I honestly can't find a single post from Ganchrow about his picks or writeups. I can see a bunch that discuss the nuts and bolts of sports betting that would give you the tools to become a winning bettor. Both approaches have value but appeal to two totally different demographics. Personally no writeup is worth a discussion on the limitations of MCMC (many, which is why they aren't used really). Actually every writeup in the history of mankind is worth less than my singular math post previously. But that is the fundamental difference between recs and sharps.

i am as recreational as they come but now i am curious, what are the limitations of MCMC? i was literally just reading about that 2 seconds ago and thinking it seemed pretty good at least for baseball.

my goodness thremp you just cannot help yourself, can you

i was reading an old TomG thread where Rob advocated MCMC and he has a masters in stats and seems smart.

so again five years from now what are you going to be doing on a day to day basis

"Actually every writeup in the history of mankind is worth less than my singular math post previously."

wow sounds like an amazing post how did i miss it

Did you think 5 years ago that'd you be spending the bulk of your time begging for advice on how to beat remedial betting markets?

I come to this forum to see above average insults being hurled towards people on a daily basis. Look how much better the banter has been ever since Poogs was given permission by the gatekeeper to post again.

We are now living in a care bear world and it is ****ing awful. It's places like this where we can return to our roots where Darwinism still reigns supreme.

yes. i always set a high bar for myself. are you and thremp gonna be on the beach together soon drinking pina coladas with all your money?

For the record I have never once said anything about the RIGHT of the chat room cool guys to do their thing, nor have I ever complained to a moderator. I co sign the darwin idea, except of course for any kind of hacking or real life trainwreck stuff which I dont think I could see these guys doing.