Originally Posted by kyleb
More specifically: Why do you think it is good, and why do you think you are smarter than the bookmaker who made that line?
The White Sox are 4 games out, 3 games behind the Tigers.
1 through 5/6? they have the best starting pitching in the division by along way, bullpen is solid. Offense has massively under performed in the first half, mainly Alex Rios and Adam Dunn but I'd expect both of them hit better than they have so far (at least they can't get worse).
For the Indians to win the division they need some young unproven starters to keep pitching good down the stretch, probably throwing more innings than any of them have before and they need Sizemore and Hafner to stay healthy (could happen?). Basically I think they need some big help with starting pitching and the offense through some trades if they're gonna be competitive down the stretch. I don't see them winning the division.
The Tigers starting pitching beyond Verlander is pretty average. Even Brad Penny usually manages a lights out first half before his normal second half collapse and he didn't even do that this year. They have some guys that can hit.
Even if the White Sox only win the division 30% of the time, they only need to win the world series every 1/12 times they make the playoffs to break even on this. And I think they win the division more often than that.
Like I said, I'm a sports betting noob looking for second opinions from people that might be good at this. These were just my thoughts.