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07-23-2017 , 10:24 AM
JK like the write up and several people tore up PK4's yesterday friend. I caught Alex The Terror yesterday (Looooooch!) then donated to said PK4 pool myself but in NY.

Just off memory with Arrogate i remember throwing $200 in the S pool on Game On Dude to clear a bonus back in the day and The Dude failed to hit the board ran a similar race and was given a similar explanation by the same connections...Next out the Dude crushed and ran them off their feet years all seem the same so can not narrow more than that but i do remember it happened.

Taking a look at Toga today strictly and eye cap day
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07-23-2017 , 05:18 PM
Charlie Rose was with the connections pre race yest. 60 minutes piece on Bob Baffert to follow. Should be a good watch now that we know what happens. Better ratings since big A threw in a clunker? 1.3 in show pool the 2.547 was all wps. Anyway it was entertaining.
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07-23-2017 , 08:27 PM
Anyone see the cca oaks today? I had the 2nd place finisher for a win/place bet and thought able Tasman would be taken down bc ending looked kinda shotty and it wasn't a pletcher horse haha. Thought they would have no problem taking down a baffert. Didn't get a great view at the track of the stretch run but looked like horse could have been taken down.

Took a shot against Tasman bc there was no pace in the race. Thought she would have trouble closing but mike smith def rode a great race. Give him props for that ride as I feel he prolly doesn't win race if he makes his move on final corner.
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07-24-2017 , 09:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jkpoker10
Anyone see the cca oaks today? I had the 2nd place finisher for a win/place bet and thought able Tasman would be taken down bc ending looked kinda shotty and it wasn't a pletcher horse haha. Thought they would have no problem taking down a baffert. Didn't get a great view at the track of the stretch run but looked like horse could have been taken down.

Took a shot against Tasman bc there was no pace in the race. Thought she would have trouble closing but mike smith def rode a great race. Give him props for that ride as I feel he prolly doesn't win race if he makes his move on final corner.
admittedly I had AT. I watched the reply numerous times .Twinspires played it from tons of angles even rear view.
Smith was aggressive as hell
he squeezed Elate but the horses never really touched. he was lucky the whip never touched her came close . no banging and the stride was not compromised.
fortunate for me the stewards left it up.
the correct call . aggressive ride was rewarded
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07-24-2017 , 12:07 PM
Saratoga 7/24/17

1.) 6-2-8
2.) 8-3-5
3.) 5-6-2
4.) 3-2-5
5.) 2-8-7
6.) 4-6-9
7.) 1-6-2
8.) 9-4-6
9.) 14-8-7

Wet tough card today at Toga but those are your 3 to fade.

Colt agree Money Mike has done this before and saw him do it start of race before as well just solid aggressive riding there.

Andy Serling showed himself yesterday well only damn time the guy said a decent word was when a sponsor was in the booth. No way i don't tell the guy to go sit the F somewhere else. Complete tool imo.

Gabby doing a great job don't take no chit off Andy he's just mad he has to look at himself each day in the mirror ( with a step stool)
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07-24-2017 , 12:20 PM
Honch
its obvious Andy has lunch money stolen his entire scholastic life.
someone needs to sell him a consonant that way his initials would be ASS.
just a rude boy.
Abby is a better capper IMHO.
and much more pleasant is all facets looks demeanor etc.
he tries to talk down to her during the talkin horses pre -race
she tales none of the bait and holds her ground.
when I go live there in two weeks ill be cheering her

Andy Serling showed himself yesterday well only damn time the guy said a decent word was when a sponsor was in the booth. No way i don't tell the guy to go sit the F somewhere else. Complete tool imo.

Gabby doing a great job don't take no chit off Andy he's just mad he has to look at himself each day in the mirror ( with a step stool)[/QUOTE]
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07-24-2017 , 05:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by colt45ss
Honch
its obvious Andy has lunch money stolen his entire scholastic life.
someone needs to sell him a consonant that way his initials would be ASS.
just a rude boy.
Abby is a better capper IMHO.
and much more pleasant is all facets looks demeanor etc.
he tries to talk down to her during the talkin horses pre -race
she tales none of the bait and holds her ground.
when I go live there in two weeks ill be cheering her

Andy Serling showed himself yesterday well only damn time the guy said a decent word was when a sponsor was in the booth. No way i don't tell the guy to go sit the F somewhere else. Complete tool imo.

Gabby doing a great job don't take no chit off Andy he's just mad he has to look at himself each day in the mirror ( with a step stool)
[/QUOTE]

Stupid question. Does elate go by if he doesn't get in so close? I say prolly. I think it's unfair. I feel horses get spooked with such little space and slow down a little. I say this bc had opposite side of action so obv I like it if I win so not a fan of the move. Feel Jose Ortiz could have gotten a dq first if he pulls horse a little and fakes it.

I honestly thought AT would lug down lane with such an early move. I feel salty should be a look at in next race. Felt she wins if doesn't break so poorly. Probably spotted the field 3-5 lengths due to starters mistake. I felt they shouldn't have started so quickly. If I bet salty I would have been super angry how quickly the dropped the gates after she got in.

Thoughts on jim dandy this week? I wanna play always dreaming big if not a lot of early pace in the race however I'm quite sure he will be overbey as he's a pletcher horse in ny. Think cappers should avoid pletcher horses at all costs as they almost always are bet hard (unless you feel super strong about the horse)and prolly way over what tur odds are. Just my opinion.

Finally Ricardo Santana jr. Anyone heard of him
Before this meet? He's crushing. Saw he won 3 races in a row with mid price horses. He's lighting up Toga. Shocked at castellano not having a lot of wins yet. Btw hi-fived castellano at Saratoga this weekend lol. Probably one of my favorite jocks. Think he does a great job majority of the time.

Last edited by Jkpoker10; 07-24-2017 at 05:15 PM.
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07-25-2017 , 10:03 AM
JK don't you mean slapped hands with JC? Jocks real touchy about height jokes

I can see your opinion on the AT race JK and you being on the wrong end of it (usually with you) you see things a certain way,i know i do but my take is this and it is pretty simple. From what i heard Greg Wolf explain the explanation was that he did not break any rules according to the stewards but walked a fine line and would not get the same results if he does it again with another horse?
REALLY?

If i am $Mike i ask what rules were broken? Stewards say none exactly BUT...Mike knew damn well it would intimidate or try to the other horse spook and put pressure on him none of this is against the rules and he took advantage of nothing then because he did nothing outside of anything period! He was an aggressive effort and tactical move and if i had some $$$ on it that is EXACTLY what i want my $$$ to do for me to try and win.

So the stewards are saying what then exactly Greg? We will take you down out of spite(see crested blazer episode) next time because the optics were sketchy and we are not about fairly enforcing rules on each horse race no matter the price? Love to hear them explain that one. Make it against the rules and write them in THEN say something like that like he got away with something because only thing Money got away with was the W and well earned. Just my take on it nothing against yours JK.
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07-26-2017 , 11:12 AM
Saratoga 7/26/17

2.) 10-9-5
3.) 4-6-3
4.) 4-3-2
5.) 7-9-4
6.) 1-2B-5
7.) 8-3-6
8.) 8-4-10
9.) 3-5-2
10.) 9-6-8

Tough Toga card today but those are your 3 to fade
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07-28-2017 , 08:24 AM
honcho:
any thoughts on the Jim Dandy?
I think cloud computing asserts his authority and sets up a great travers with a win here
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07-28-2017 , 10:48 AM
Saratoga 7/28/17

1.) 2-4-5
2.) 9-6-7
3.) 2-7-10
4.) 5-4-1
5.) 4-5-1
6.) 3-11-2
7.) 9-8-7
8.) 8-5-1
9.) 4-6-2
10.) 10-2-4

Tough Toga Friday card but those are your 3 to fade.

Colt i do not have an opinion on the JD i have plans already for Saturday
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07-28-2017 , 12:32 PM
Honcho please do your 3 to fade Saturday for Saratoga. I'll be at Saratoga Saturday.

I love the 8 horse in the 7th race. Chad brown horse on turf with me at 5/2. Hope it stays around there but I highely doubt it. Feel he will be hammered. Love his speed figs, run style, and trainer. Pace setup has 3 earlier speed horses so feel this race sets up for him extremely well. Only other good closer coming off long layoff so I'll bet him heavy prolly. Will prolly single ap indian in p4, with always dreaming + cloud computing, and go deeper in other two hoping for a price in at least one.

Ap indian worries me but feel he matches well against field without whitmore. Tough single and I hope it gets through but will be tough. Will post pick 4 tomorrow
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07-28-2017 , 12:54 PM
Do we have any bridge jumpers in this thread? I love to fade those guys.
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07-28-2017 , 04:08 PM
Did you get a piece of the big horses fail at DMR?
So the Nyra late p5 is only for account holders? It can't be bet at otb's sports books or other sites? Is this where we are going because Xp Tvg have markets also and track relationships also. Exclusion precedent. Other sites have their markets and track relationships also. I won't connect all the dots but not a cool thing is my reaction. I realize OK just open a Nyra account and have fun but what competition happens from here.
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07-29-2017 , 07:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jkpoker10
Honcho please do your 3 to fade Saturday for Saratoga. I'll be at Saratoga Saturday.

I love the 8 horse in the 7th race. Chad brown horse on turf with me at 5/2. Hope it stays around there but I highely doubt it. Feel he will be hammered. Love his speed figs, run style, and trainer. Pace setup has 3 earlier speed horses so feel this race sets up for him extremely well. Only other good closer coming off long layoff so I'll bet him heavy prolly. Will prolly single ap indian in p4, with always dreaming + cloud computing, and go deeper in other two hoping for a price in at least one.

Ap indian worries me but feel he matches well against field without whitmore. Tough single and I hope it gets through but will be tough. Will post pick 4 tomorrow
5.) 2-5-4
6.) 7-5-10
7.) 8-10-7
8.) 4-8-6
9.) 7-2-3
10.) 1-4-3

Best i have for you on the quick this a.m. as i am out the door and have a kick butt day JK on track friend. Rumor is there is a dunk tank for Andy Serling maybe your best bet of the day Guy's arrogant schtick is just old man.

Prickly man i do not want to even get started with NYRA...As a business idea the late PK5 thru them or on track is genius under the circumstances of the market and business right now. They are also panning some free games before imo they go live with real $$ tourney play as well. Def not a horse player friendly time like there ever was one right
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07-29-2017 , 06:47 PM
Yeah the wager is awesome and plays really great on big stakes days. It should exist in Cali. I applaud NYRA for not flushing the NY p6 down the jackpot toilet yet. Going to effective 31% rake that has an 85% chance going to end up going big ticket masters is well...
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07-30-2017 , 03:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Honcho
5.) 2-5-4
6.) 7-5-10
7.) 8-10-7
8.) 4-8-6
9.) 7-2-3
10.) 1-4-3

Best i have for you on the quick this a.m. as i am out the door and have a kick butt day JK on track friend. Rumor is there is a dunk tank for Andy Serling maybe your best bet of the day Guy's arrogant schtick is just old man.

Prickly man i do not want to even get started with NYRA...As a business idea the late PK5 thru them or on track is genius under the circumstances of the market and business right now. They are also panning some free games before imo they go live with real $$ tourney play as well. Def not a horse player friendly time like there ever was one right
I actually saw Andy Serling on the streets of Saratoga at like 2am lol. I actually asked if it was him and it was. Some brunette chick was with him and must be a commentator. She said her name but I had no clue who she was. Just know of the mig, serling, loducca etc.
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07-31-2017 , 11:42 AM
Saratoga 7/31/17

1.) 3-6-5
2.) 5-10-4
3.) 3-1-5
4.) 4-7-5
5.) 1-10-7
6.) 3-5-6
7.) 6-1-3
8.) 8-1-4
9.) 13-1-16

Tough Monday card at Toga but those are your 3 to fade
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07-31-2017 , 12:44 PM
Anyone find the dandy crazy? I had a 60 win bet on ad and thought he had it in the bag when they did 1/2 in 48. Anyone that had winner looks like a genius. Didn't think a first time dirt starter could win like he did. Feel the track played funky as speed was holding early on in day.

The bc classic should be interesting. I feel playing against arrogate is the play unless he dominates next race. Also I feel in the Whitney, gun runner is a solid single. No way I can see keen ice running like last race. THink gun runner is steps above field in Whitney right now. Wouldnprolly pit him as best horse now after that arrogate flop. Gun runner always comes to race imo and has never really even had a clunker race.

Finally my toga trip, had my 3 friends that never bet at a track bet horses I capped as solid shots to win. My 3 friends made money at the track and I was a loser for day due to always dreaming win bet. Tough game but feel my capping skills were solid for day. I made a point to play against ascend in the bowling green and had the race 7 pegged perfectly for my biggest win/place bet for the day.
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08-02-2017 , 06:16 PM
Violence are popping.
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08-03-2017 , 12:04 AM
16:00 Galway (IRE)
Lac Kivu
need: 1.43 (70%)
available: 1.80 (generally available most books + BF exchange)
stake: 8% (Kelly * 0.25)

Any Pogues fans out there?
Bottleofsmoke (Galway 17:15) will be landing a touch one of these days, and what better time than at a strong betting meet like the Galway festival?
"25 to effing 1" (Shane MacGowan) might be stretching it a bit but 12 to 1 is freely available at most books at the moment and there's some 19.00 for pennies on BF (where patience while liquidity builds will likely pay off).

Last edited by daonna; 08-03-2017 at 12:11 AM.
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08-03-2017 , 07:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by prickly00
Violence are popping.
Include offs tore up the dirt yesterday at Toga 2nd and 4th race i believe maybe something to look at going forward capping.
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08-04-2017 , 10:23 AM
Saratoga 8/4/17

1.) 7-4-5
2.) 4-3-2
3.) 1-6-2
4.) 5-4-6
5.) 12-5-8
6.) 5-4-6
7.) 3-5-1
8.) 9-6-2
9.) 1-5-9
10.) 1-5-12

Just another tough card at Toga today lots of right answers on paper but those are your 3 to fade.

*Race#8 Have the #9 on top here but the #6 being the only off from Include on dirt today is worth the play also*

Last edited by Honcho; 08-04-2017 at 10:30 AM. Reason: i'm confused easily
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08-05-2017 , 02:25 PM
Looking to upset the applecart in the Whitney with Tu Brutus.

Don't believe Gun Runner gets it done today.

Exacta Tu Brutus with Keen Ice.
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08-05-2017 , 02:45 PM
The whitney looks interesting today. I like gun runner on form and class however pace is suspect. Feel he likes to be up front per last few race lines. With a rabbit and a lot of early pace, could see upset in place. Feel keen ice is way to go with expected pace. Not playing bc price is meh on gun runner. If he can rate, love his chances.

I'll show my pick 4 I'm not playing. Not confident in 2 races I would go short in def a pass. Also don't see many big dogs with chance to win in 2 races I went deeper in.

8-2,3,5,8,10
9-6,5
10-2,7,8,10,11
11-6,7

Good luck everyone playing.
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