Glad the Breeders Cup is over. That Grey Goose commercial was really starting to freak me out.

Melbourne Cup

The two French Raiders at the top of the weightscale and betting look to have a stranglehold on the $6Million (USD ~$6.1million) 2 mile H'cap.
3pm Australian Eastern Summer Time.

1. Dunaden 59kg 7y h - Last years winner/HK International Vase winner and 7-1 on the second line of betting is my clear top pick. Despite giving away weight the cross-reference through the Hardwicke Grp2 WFA and the Caulfield Cup Grp1 Hcp - suggest that he is well capable of beating home other better weighter raiding hopefuls. Locals look the thinnest representation in memory so no real threat lies there. History suggests that 59kg is too much weight - I suggest that Melbourne has not seen the quality of stayer that Dunaden represents.

2. Americian - 58kg 8yo H - 2010 winner and 4th last year. 4-1fav Represents the clear threat to Dunaden. Local owners transferred Americain into a local trainers hands after 2010 win and the horse has not performed upto best. Back in Dupre's hand - the horse performed credibly behind Dunaden in Caufield Cup and appeared in need of race. Beating multi-hemisphere group 1 mile and a quarter Australian Champion into 3rd when he won in 2010 - if the expected improvement into this run is realised looks the main threat.

Best outsider
5. Winchester 55.5kg 8yo h - 33-1 4time Group 1 winning American starter has been 18months since winning Group 1 Saratoga Sword Dancer Invitational Group 1 mile and half. Has been quietly improving although off a moderate base in 4 runs here in Australia. Finished off last two furlongs in slick time expecially last start in Grp1 Mackinnon stakes Mile + 1/4. Poorly drawn but a backmarker with a powerful closer burst with flemingtons 550m straight means horse should get every chance despite poor draw. At 33-1 price suggests we get value for more recently better performed horses.

Hope you get a chance to watch the 100,000 plus crowd and great international field tommorrow.

Good luck and back a winner.

Good write up on the Melbourne Cup! Can't wait for it. However doubtful towards American after his run in the Caulfield cup, coming 4th with a weaker field. My money is with place bets on Mount Athos, Red Cadeuex and Callavary man, and mabye Kellini too. Because of the massive field each year the Melbourne cup is always good for Fun bets and Sweeps, it's a terrible race to soundly invest your money in.
Any one else got any tips?

The Walk and Kevroc shoutouts on TVG, nice.

Glad the pebbles,Andrea,and yourself are ok man,been worried about you,interesting way you let us know your ok too goof...and a shoutout on TVG,isnt that like hearing your name on the morning announcements in school? Kev still entertained by the simple things

Yes, we are good. Thanks!

I'm not on here much anymore, but if my buddy Honcho would take off the tinfoil hat and join social media he'd see me more often!

LOL...So true Kev,but you know me and not taking off a hat i just got to fit right

Have not looked at the card for Hollywood today,just the replays up to now,but DEF keeping up on them now BECAUSE Honcho is coming to Vegas,finally!!!

Really if anything if i can just get 1 of my Sklansky fatheads autographed while im there

VERY impressive debut by Eblouissante (Zenyatta's half sister) today.....

Nice debut,once she switched leads it was over...You could hear the desperation of this entire sport in Vic's call for Eblouisante

She looked like a natural out there... Definitely has a bright future and obviously the sport needs it.

Hollywood on 11/23 Citation H. (Gr.II)

I'm pulling for Jeranimo, but he always leaves way too much to do and doesnt win nearly as often as he should. (I know he's capable of setting the pace in races void of speed, like this 1, but he usually doesnt win those races either)+ he's carrying high weight (really?).

Not much early speed here. Ultimate Eagle gets the lead and sets reasonable fractions, I like him a lot here. Kind of worried this is the obvious angle and price will suck...

Temple's Door is intriguing. Results haven't lived up to pedigree but this should be right in his wheelhouse. Price should be nice, too.

gl.

Happy Thanksgiving.

Happy Thanksgiving to the boys in the HORSE RACING THREAD

Pick 6 Carryover today at Hollywood Park, pool could hit 2 million
http://todayscarryovers.blogspot.ca/

happy thanksgiving to all (especially my man, honch).

pk6 carryover... yes please. here goes:

2,4,7/1/1,5/3,7,8/1,4-6,8/11 $180
2,4/1,5-7/5/3/5,6,8/11 $48

cashed in a ton of twinspires points, so this $228 investment only cost me like $140!!! good luck all!!!

Thank you Walk,hope your holiday went well. Just got in last eve to tail your PK6 and catch that whacker of a last,but nice to give the thread a real play to sweat on a holiday. I just did the same with my TS points,only because they were kind enough to remind me. Have too much to do to cap or give any educated anything atm,but best of luck to everyone itt on their plays.

Happy Black Friday, all!

late pk4 at CD:

R 9: 2,6,10-13
R 10: 2,3,7,8,10
R 11: 5,7,9,10
R 12: 4

$60

R 9: 2,11-13
R 10: 2,7,10
R 11: 10
R 12: 4,6

$12

GL Walk!

Yikes,ugly 4th at Hollywood just a sec ago

10/1,5/4,6,9/7/3,4,6,7/5,9

pk6 at AQU. $96

everything has been a photo today, wow. remsen, cigar mile @ the big A, fred hooper @ calder.

liking a 12/1 morning line shot in AQU 5 today.

#6 Highly Justin

2nd off layoff, shipping in from delaware, bumping up 2 classes, vulnerable favorite on a fishy claim drop, good trainer with decent jock, good trainer up two classes.

feel like this race is ripe for a horse trying to improve as opposed to dropping.

would take anything 5-1 or better.

going to try and single him in a deeper pk3 or double and will probably go something like $40WP

gl all

AQU pk3 race 3

1,4,5,9/ALL/6

$28

Alive for $1400 in pk3 to #6. Odds are currently 6-1.

Ill probably play a few exotics with 6 underneath

The race isn't until mid-March, but get on BOBS WORTH for the 2013 Cheltenham Gold Cup. Currently 5/1 but he's very strong at Cheltenham and you can't pick any holes in his form, a racing expert guy on TV said that price will be shorter on the day.

Hollywood Park 12/7/12

1.) 6-4-3
2.) 1-2-5
3.) 5-9-2
4.) 5-10-1
5.) 3-1-4
6.) 5-2-6
7.) 3-5-2
8.) 5-7-8


Looks to be some value to the backside of the card today imo,and the late PK4. GL