Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >

Notices

Sports Betting Discussions related to wagering on sporting events.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 08-12-2017, 06:45 PM   #6551
ProfBets
old hand
 
ProfBets's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 1,914
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

what a screwy opening week for EPL
ProfBets is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Yesterday, 06:01 AM   #6552
HJS
banned
 
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 51
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Sporting moneyline and Liverpool over look interesting
HJS is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Yesterday, 10:21 AM   #6553
MisterRodriguez
newbie
 
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 29
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Porto Asian Handicap -1,75 against Moreirense at odds 1,71 .Sunday at 6 PM in Estadio do Dragao(Porto)



According to my Power Ratings(each player in the starting lineup,squad,coach,suporters,league projection)this is a game between the slight Favourite for the title against the favourite to go down Moreirense at the moment.
Porto is looking scary at the moment winning every game in August 4-0 Deportivo Coruna(last friendly at home),away at Gil vicente(last friendly away a second division team 1-3) and in the Primeira Liga they won the first game against a middle table team Estoril Praia by 4-0 in a game they created plenty of clear goal scoring opportunities(10)and showed the new coach game model dynamic,of high pressure,strong reaction to disposession and they utterly dominated a good Estoril side but the gap between big 3 in Portugal(Benfica,Porto,Sporting) and smaller teams is immense much like in Spain
Last Sunday they won away by 1-0 at Tondela a relegation team candidate,but with much more quality than Moreirense and to be honest home and away performances usually in Portugal for the Big 3 are quite redundant.
One aspect that strikes me also in this bet at 1,71 is that Porto market avg price at home aside european teams(top 6) is the biggest since 15 th january,wich it indicates that Moreirense price is currently way overvalued.They are the main relegation candidates ,they were safe only in the last game and they saw 8 starting 11 players leaving and they were substituted by second divion sides.Their manager appointemnt is quite strange also Manuel Machado last season was fired by the two teams who dropped(Nacional Arouca)and its a very old coach that fails to adapt and last year was a clear example of his lack of competence at this point of his carreer.
This is clear value at the moment and the expected closing odds are below 1,64(the closing odds for Porto EstorilAH-1,75,a middle table team!,now they face a relegation candidate with higher odds available than that after Porto thrashed Estoril 4-0 and won away)
It is not feisable that this opening price(wich was not attacked yet)after Porto strong beggining of the season against the worst team arguably in the league it is above from the closing odds in the game with Estoril at 1,64.My pick is Porto AH-1,75
MisterRodriguez is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Today, 01:58 AM   #6554
RickBoyle
banned
 
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 17
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

nice wrtire up, usually bet on port against the spread vs weak teamsin liga nos
RickBoyle is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Today, 11:04 AM   #6555
ARCANGEL0
veteran
 
Join Date: Jul 2016
Posts: 2,335
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

barcelona today good pick to make $$$

glgl
ARCANGEL0 is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:52 PM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ę 2008-2010, Two Plus Two Interactive
 
 
Poker Players - Streaming Live Online