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Old 12-30-2011, 07:00 AM   #3061
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

UFC!
Probably sticking to some fun parlay. Last event was actually my first UFC in the green, and on another note, in times where people seem to be pointing out flaws with Betfair;

Quote:
Dear Marcus
One or more of your bets, placed on the market has been voided/lapsed by Betfair. Whilst these bets were all placed in good faith, in order to be fair to all users we have had to void/lapse them.
Quote:
Bets were voided because the market was loaded as Ortiz v Anotnio Rodrigo Nogueira, when in actual fact Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira was fighting Mir on the same bill. It was his brother who fought Ortiz. As both these bouts were loaded with the incorrect brother we have had to void both markets. Please accept my apologies for the inconvenience.
They spelled it wrong. Lil Nog won but i didnt get my money, Big Nog was on the same card and he lost. On Betfair, they only show the initials so theres basically no way for someone who backs to forecast. Pretty outrageous yes.

Liverpool - Newcastle Liverpool -1.0 1.98 ah

Brock Lesnar - Alistar Overeem Brock Lesnar 2.4

I think the odds way too much reflect Brocks loss vs Cain Velasquez, and wouldnt want to price anyone in this bout under 1.8 / over 2.0. I think Cain quite frankly got pretty lucky against Lesnar, and im guessing if Lesnar won that fight Alistair is the underdog and Brock the one selling at 1.8 and below, Lesnars only record stain in that case being the knee bar defeat by Mir.
Maybe one or two extra decimals on the Brock market even in this match as it is exist partially because Mir subbed Brock, which IMO seems irrelevant given the rarity and variance involved in a submission like that.
Itll also be interesting to see if Alistair can keep his A++-game this being his first UFC fight, against a Brock who knows what he is doing and has done it before.


St. Louis Blues - Nashville Predators Was really lucky to find +1.5 goals 1.71 on the exchanges, trading at 1.51 now.

Last edited by SMUTTTT; 12-30-2011 at 07:21 AM.
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Old 12-30-2011, 07:02 AM   #3062
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Neither of those players will break the transfer record when they eventually leave. I think it's very unlikely to be broken anytime soon with FFP regulations kicking in.
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Old 12-30-2011, 10:01 AM   #3063
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Liverpool - Newcastle Newcastle +1
Liverpool - Newcastle U2.5 goals
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Old 12-30-2011, 11:39 AM   #3064
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Liverpool v Newcastle

Demba Ba any time scorer 11/4
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Old 12-30-2011, 01:32 PM   #3065
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Originally Posted by ONE OF A KIND View Post
Liverpool v Newcastle Demba Ba any time scorer 11/4
not convinced by 3.75 There. Seems like quite a gamble at best. Think Liverpools defence/overall game is gonna be sorted out tonight and not give too manychances away
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Old 12-30-2011, 02:08 PM   #3066
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

not convinced by 3.75 There. Seems like quite a gamble at best. Think Liverpools defence/overall game is gonna be sorted out tonight and not give too manychances away.

Dont see whats wrong with getting nearly 4-1 on a guy who is second top Goalscorer in the league , and has a stupidly good goals per game record for the year.

Even though Liverpool have a ridic record against Newcastle at Anfield,you woudnt really want to back them or Newcastle with the results pool have had at home.

Wudnt put money on match at all but dont see how backing demba ba to score anytime " is a gamble at best " anymore than your suggested bet of liverpool -1 on AH.
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Old 12-30-2011, 02:37 PM   #3067
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

i got a nice little double southampton and gillingham to win 3-1 good bet?
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Old 12-30-2011, 03:25 PM   #3068
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Ba credited with that goal or not?

Re transfer- it has to be British club to British club wo rules out hulk and cavani. I thought it was a decen shout before I realised it can't involve Madrid/Porto etc
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Old 12-30-2011, 06:53 PM   #3069
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Nah it'll either be Cabaye or Agger OG.

Got ManU, Norwich and City @ 4.40. Pretty handy.
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Old 12-31-2011, 05:58 AM   #3070
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Bovada has the total for the Manu/Blackburn game at ovr 3.5 -130 but in the game props they have over 3.5 +115. Am I missing something?
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Old 12-31-2011, 06:15 AM   #3071
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

got 4 fold 2day Man united arsenal,chelsea an spurs 3-1 12£ stake
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Old 12-31-2011, 11:18 AM   #3072
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Beerfund View Post
Bovada has the total for the Manu/Blackburn game at ovr 3.5 -130 but in the game props they have over 3.5 +115. Am I missing something?
Heh, guess not. They paid it out before the game was even over.
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Old 01-01-2012, 06:26 AM   #3073
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

ok new year...about december, I dont know what to say...in the middle of december i got buried...just my 10 - 2 run earlier in december rescued me a little bit. However...lets start 2012 the same way as 2011 was till middle of december lol

West Brom - Everton
over 2,5 - 2.28

Man City -1 - 2.03
and over 2.5 - 1.79
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Old 01-01-2012, 11:59 AM   #3074
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

if football teams could somehow see my record in betting single games i wouldn't be suprised if they paid me to back the opposition every week

/rant
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Old 01-01-2012, 03:26 PM   #3075
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

I am looking for a stats site about referees in european football in order to see their tedencies like how many yellows or reds cards they give etc
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