Neth to bt Port @2.63 3u
Neth/Port o2.5 @1.93 2u
Neth/Port o3.5 @3.25 1u
Ger/ita Par @2.1 3u

Really see a high scoring game in Neth-Port game. Netherlands will def have to go for it, and may play Huntelaar and RVP up top.

Denmark will be a hard opponent for Germany, but Germany should just edge it, they're just so efficient and solid in their play.

ITT: 4-4-1 +0.06

Germany -1 +120 1u
Por-Ned Draw +260 1u

I think Denmark could start to show the strain of the first two games. They have put up a huge effort so far. Germany is not over-rated, and surprisingly, a loss to Denmark has the possibility of knocking them out if Portugal wins.

Regardless of what happens in the first half, I think the Germans can score twice in the second half. Denmark will be tired, and late in the game, and late in the group, is when Germany are at their best.

Looking forward to watching the Por-Ned game, should be struggle. I like the price on the draw.

added
Neth/Port o4.5 @5.75 0.5u

ITT 4-5-2 -0.94 units

Italy -1½ EV 2.5 units

The most units I have bet so far this tourney.
Ireland does not have what it takes to stop them.

anyone have any tips on croatia-spain?

Not me. Spain only need a draw. Croatia virtually need a win.

I don't know how good Croatia are really. They let Ireland score on them.

Spain might score two or three but I don't like any of the lines. Probably wont bet. I am confused.

on the face of it, doesn't look like a great match to bet on. a score draw of 2-2 or better puts both teams through, with spain 1st + croats 2nd. if this is the case with 15mins to go both teams will settle for that.
I still feel this scenario is unlikely, can't see Croats scoring 2 vs Spain, I would say o2.5 is a likely, but the odds aren't very good.

Imagine i'm gonna be fading this match, not sure yet tho

from yday - 1-3 -2.64
12-26-1 -16.25


Ita/Eng Par @2.95 2u
Ger/ita Par @2.1 3u
Ita to win to nil @2.2 2u
Ita to win @1.44 10u - free bet from ages ago, wont be recording it as a loss if i do lose
Ita/Ger par @1.87 4u


really surprised at Italys high price today, was expecting it to be below 1.3 - really question ireland motivation for this game, and italy will be very motivated - altho its likely a 1-0 win will be the same as a 5-0 win in Group C for them.

Spa to win @1.5 2u
Spa o2.5 @3.25 1u

how do the bookies make some of these odds up

England / Ukraine

11/2 for England to score 3 goals on paddy power

33/1 for Rooney to score an hat trick

i know England scored three against Sweden but how many times do they ever score 3 goals in a competitive game

in the last 10 years there has only been two Engalnd players to score a hat trick in a competitive game

^^^ dumb patriotic english degens is ur answer.

few hundred english ppl will stick a few quid on rooney hatrick before tomo's game, terrible odds but they don't care/know do they

gl, Italy playing like crap obv

Definitely needed the luck.

My stock in Italy just went down some.

On William hill, Wayne Rooney to score anytime and England to win. 4/1

4-1 +10.1u
16-27-1 -6.15

after today, def rate Germany as clear favs for Euros, Spain are just not a threat with the final product. Quite like either Eng/Fra chances vs Spain in quarters.