lot of money in darts

If a sport doesn't have many compiled stats, compile the stats yourself and you'll have a huge advantage over everyone else.

nrl, afl, rugby union

what?

Interesting...do others feel the same way?

I did get crushed in NHL last year, but figured that was just cause I am as square as they come...

every hockey model i come up with rarely shows value against lines

and lines barely move from opening to closing. hockey has been solved

Thoughts on if you have an edge in large markets it works against you (in terms of collaring) to go after small markets?

nfl player props man

I always felt that NFL was the hardest to beat as the lines are usually razor sharp.

NCAAF and NCAAB (particularly college basketball) have been bread and butter for me along with MLB. My local always dreads the summers because he gets hammered on baseball and has to wait until the fall starts to finally get it back.

As for the NBA having to many games and meaningless mid season games, I think that's what makes it beatable. Knowing which teams are looking ahead possibly or coasting. Knowing which dogs to back in a good spot. Watching odds on moneyline's, comparing to previous lines, etc.

Example the other day the Nuggets were only laying 1' to GSW when they had been favored by 2' on the road the previous time and were coming off two days rest, etc. It was practically screaming trap ...

Just my to cents.

What book do you play them at? I find the lines to be too volatile at places like 5 Dimes. You start making some prop bets and next thing you know you have that prop at -160 or -190 or something ridiculous...

is this information posted on the team's twitter page?

I always appreciate some good ole fashioned sarcasm ...

I did not know that.

Thanks for pointing it out...I think you just saved me alot of $$ (if we ever have another NHL season)

I've heard various games kicked around. Most sources cite MLB and NCAA Hoops as 2 of the more popular choices. I also have heard the NFL is a very tough nut to crack for the pros.

What's an adequate list, ranking them starting w/the most "beatable" game?

Is tennis on the list? What about NHL? Again, I've read that NHL monylines are very exploitable. Yet in another article I have read that pro bettors have had a very difficult time with hockey. So it's hard to know what to believe.

But in general this is the impression I have gotten:

1) NCAAB
2) MLB
3) Tennis
4) NHL

Also is moneyline, in general, typically the w2g?

American Idol

American bias there. Elsewhere only tennis on that list is getting large volume. NCAAB limits too low outside North America without much interest, while MLB and NHL are tough to beat.

Also it is tough to know how to answer your question. Often the easiest to beat are the ones the least popular for betting.

Absolutely no reason to restrict yourself to moneylines. Perhaps that idea comes from NHL and MLB for reason the bookmakers margins are less. In that case when random betting it makes sense. But only concern is finding +EV bets no matter if it is a run or puck line, prop, total, moneyline or whatever else.

NBA

i heard this as well cause they can call in and vote and swing the results

It should really go without saying, but bet what you enjoy and figure out a way to crush it.

Esports and MMA are the two sports I find easiest to beat, especially if you only pick the really amazing spots, it's not uncommon to beat a closing line by 50+ points in either sport if you catch a good opener

Silly topic but, betting Wacha as a dog in any situation is going to be good value for the next few years. Yes, even tomorrow night.

i'm sure he will often be an underdog if he continues his recent form.

If you have been a fan of European soccer since you were a kid then you

would be making a big mistake in thinking of abandoning it as a means to

beating the bookie.


The way to bet on soccer is to concentrate 90% of all your efforts on antepost/long-term markets.

Indeed I have no hesitation in stating that soccer is probably the easiest sport to beat........

.......if you bet on long-term markets.


Good Luck

i'd love to make a living betting futures.

It becomes boring if you do it long enough. Diversification of the sports you bet, and even your overall gambling skill set (blackjack, all poker variants, etc.) makes it a much more exciting career. Extremely active minds tend to bore easily.

The only future I went out of my way to strongly recommend online was FSU to win the ACC at slightly better than even odds last season. I obviously continued backing them this season on futures, but it wasn't posted anywhere so I won't mention it. I did say the only concern with that FSU bet was waiting 7 months to collect your cheese, lock it up and make it rain.

Futures offer huge edges at times. I remember my first trip to Vegas putting 90% of my life savings on Jordan to win the NBA championship on his first full season back with the bulls at 2-1, life changing bet for me at that age, a monsoon season of making it rain.