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NFL Week 10 NFL Week 10

11-05-2012 , 12:54 AM
Think the public smashed the house on Week 9. Let's keep it up!

from pinny:

TNF
11/8 8:25 ET Indianapolis -3 AT Jacksonville 42.5

11/11 1:00 ET AT New England -11 Buffalo 51
11/11 1:00 ET New York Giants -4 AT Cincinnati 48.5
11/11 1:00 ET AT Tampa Bay -3 San Diego 48
11/11 1:00 ET Denver -4 AT Carolina 47.5
11/11 1:00 ET AT Miami -6 Tennessee 44
11/11 1:00 ET AT Baltimore -7.5 Oakland 46
11/11 1:00 ET Detroit -1 AT Minnesota 47
11/11 1:00 ET Atlanta -2.5 AT New Orleans 53 *party
11/11 4:05 ET AT Seattle -6.5 New York Jets 38.5
11/11 4:25 ET AT San Francisco -11 St Louis 38.5
11/11 4:25 ET AT Philadelphia -3 Dallas 45.5 *party
11/11 8:30 ET AT Chicago -1 Houston 42.5

MNF
11/12 8:40 ET AT Pittsburgh -11.5 Kansas City 43
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 01:05 AM
so far got...

Jags +3 1u
Bucs -3 1u

Last edited by housenuts; 11-05-2012 at 01:13 AM. Reason: updated
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 03:48 AM
got lions +3.5 before it got smashed.

steelers -11.5
broncos -4

look the best
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 05:10 AM
Love the Bears here.
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 08:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rwillia789
got lions +3.5 before it got smashed.
when where was that? sick
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 12:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by housenuts
when where was that? sick
partybets - low liquidity but obv sick mispricing
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 12:25 PM
do you have a max bet on there?
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 01:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by silviodante1
Love the Bears here.
Why?
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 02:25 PM
IND -3 !!!! I am pumped
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11-05-2012 , 03:15 PM
Guessing the Colts game ends up being the biggest square play of the week, outside of the Pats.

Also +11.5 for the Rams? Closest thing I have to a play so far.
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 03:25 PM
Really like jax. Hoping it gets to 3.5

Anyone think it gets to 4?
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 03:28 PM
i can get 3.5 now but pretty sure it will go to 4/4.5

Last edited by rwillia789; 11-05-2012 at 03:53 PM.
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11-05-2012 , 04:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki
Guessing the Colts game ends up being the biggest square play of the week, outside of the Pats.

Also +11.5 for the Rams? Closest thing I have to a play so far.
Agree on Rams. Also Wong'd it with Texans/Ravens for now.

I do like Lions quite a bit. Bengals too.

But am yet to fire bullets.
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 04:09 PM
At first glance, I'll take Indy, Pats, Giants, & SF
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11-05-2012 , 04:18 PM
I talked to 4 bookies in the last 2 days.

One guy said he was done after last night. He changed his mind today though and back in it.

Another guy said he got "absolutely smashed."

Another guy said it was "the worst single day in 25 years". I heard that 3rd hand. Sounds a little dramatic, but that's a hell of a statement.

And another guy just told me he lost 12k.

I can honestly say I've never seen anything like yesterday. It was unbelievable. 6 games, over 80% of the public bet on one side of them all, and won every single one. WOW.
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 05:50 PM
only play i have for this week is bucs -3 -120

everything else looks really solid
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 05:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RunHotSports
BLAH! Exactly as I said in the week 9 thread. Bastards.

"Before the day started, Kornegay and his team went over the teams that its bettors loved that week: Denver, Green Bay, Detroit, Baltimore, Houston, Chicago and Seattle."

"It was another kick in the ribs," Kornegay said. "But I was already on the floor."



More like a kick in the nuts. With steel toed boots and when your nuts are swollen already.

Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
This is a particularly strange week. The public is absolutely HAMMERING certain games, which isn't surprising, but the # of those games are. I've never seen this before (although I've only been paying attention for 2-3 years now). Usually its 1-3 games a week, but 7 is outrageous. Those sides are

Denver
Green Bay
Baltimore
Houston
Detroit
Seattle
Chicago

Every team is +80% action. Like I've said, I've never seen this before. It's a make or break week for people this week, either the books are going to get murdered or the public is going to get murdered. I'm pretty shocked at what I'm seeing on the public side. Almost every game is lopsided to one side.

scoresandodds.com "betting trends" up top. It's crazy. Be wary.

Last edited by wil318466; 11-05-2012 at 06:01 PM.
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 06:12 PM
How can the Denver line be -3.5? Have these people lost their minds?

Ugh wtf. This week SEVEN GAMES are ridiculously favored on one side.

Indy 93%
New England 89%
NY Giants 93%
Tampa Bay 87%
Denver 94%
Baltimore 88%
Seattle 80%

Oh man. Here we go. Another ridiculous week. This is actually worse than last week.
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 06:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
How can the Denver line be -3.5? Have these people lost their minds?

Ugh wtf. This week SEVEN GAMES are ridiculously favored on one side.

Indy 93%
New England 89%
NY Giants 93%
Tampa Bay 87%
Denver 94%
Baltimore 88%
Seattle 80%

Oh man. Here we go. Another ridiculous week. This is actually worse than last week.
Exactly what I was thinking going to make a 10 game parlay again and prob just pick the favorites . If I have anything left after the cup today of course
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11-05-2012 , 06:32 PM
i swear packers didnt get backed by the public? that line only came in even touching -9.5 -110 after cardinals' awful performance against 49ers
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11-05-2012 , 06:58 PM
titans +6 stood out
also liked raiders +8.5
bears pk
and rams as well....

everything else i within half point or point of what i have the line set at so not looking like too many bets this week.
NFL Week 10 Quote
11-05-2012 , 07:52 PM
Looking over those games, I'd say Buffalo has a shot to cover 11. Indy could possibly lose, but the Jaguars are lol awful. Giants looks like a lock, Bucs look like a lock, Denver looks like a lock, Baltimore could lose, and Seattle could easily not cover.

The best bet of the week looks like Denver again, or maybe Tampa Bay. WTF?
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11-05-2012 , 07:57 PM
Seattle is going to be my biggest play of the week.
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11-05-2012 , 08:13 PM
Bah. I'm going 1.5 units Eagles and Under 52. Risking 3.3 to win 6.6.

Fade me and profit, the way I'm going now.

Edit : threw 2 more units straight up on Eagles +3.

Last edited by wil318466; 11-05-2012 at 08:19 PM.
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