I was in vegas recently for 3 weeks and was there to bet sports and play poker. I did very bad betting sports but did okay in poker but still not a good trip.
There was a post i read in another forum that gave a review of all the las vegas sportsbook and how it fares. I'm not 100% sure if that person that post in that forum is the same guy that post here.
I also spoke to a person in another forum that said the key to betting sports is to pretty much bet every off number you can find. Such as if in basketball, you see +3 on most offshore books but you can get +3.5 at the same vig, you auto bet it because even though 1/2 point doesn't seem like much, when you add all those games you get 1/2 point better, there will be quite a few games where you win instead of push or push instead of lose. So even if you like the team laying 3 points, you have to bet the +3.5 based on principle. Does everyone agree/disagree with this?
Well the previous person who wrote a review of las vegas sportsbook mentioned that Cantor Sports was the worst because they are unbeatable due to their lines. I clearly see what he meant as i was in the vegas sportsbook and rarely did they ever have the best line in any game compared to the other books. The guys said books like Wynn, Stations and MGM properties are beatable in baseball especially their totals and runlines. What i did while i was there was look at the pinnacle line for totals in many baseball games and lets say i see under 8.5 at -120 juice. But when i log into vegasinsider, books like harrahs properties may have the under 8.5 at -115 or even -110. My question is, is this an auto bet everytime because one would be getting the under 8.5 at 5 or 10 cents better? Like for today, when i check pinny and book like harrahs properties, there are like 5 games where you can get a total at a lesser juice but majority of those games gets just 2 cents better. Like pinny shows under 8.5 at -117 whereas you can get under 8.5 at a harrahs property for -115. Would this be an autobet as well since its 2 cents better? Surely if all someone did was bet baseball totals at a property 5 cents better than pinnacle, would they ever get heat since they are betting steam?
I didn't have much time to analyze the results of this as i had to leave las vegas but from what i saw, there were more games that were won this way but i know its a small sample. My question is... would blindly betting totals where you get a line better than pinnacle be winning in the long term? The same as with runlines? I saw a few games where the runline for a team on pinny laying 1.5 was +132. But at one book, they had the same team -1.5 at +140 at an MGM property. There were some games where i saw pinny juice a total of 7 to like -127 and then some vegas properties like harrahs didn't even move the steam and you could get the over 7 at -115 for 12 cents better. But if you wait say 10 more minutes and when the game was almost starting, then it would move to -125. The same as if you see a moneyline for mlb where the fav is -140 and the underdog is +132. If you could find the underdog at +135, is this an auto bet? The same if you see the favorite at -135 say at Stations since its 5 cents better than pinnacle? And if yes, is there a formula people use such as if they beat pinny's line by 5 cents, they go x unit but if they get it 10 cents, they bet bigger? I would also assume most ppl wouldnt even make a wager if they get a total for baseball for 2 cents better than pinnacle?
Is it correct for me to use pinnacle as the standard since they are the number 1 book in the world? Not sure if its them or betfair.
Sorry for asking so many questions