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Old 06-17-2017, 02:30 PM   #1
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baseball correlated parlays

Any idea on how profitable parlaying overs with -1.5 run lines is? (at slightly worse than market prices).

Same question with first 5 inning lines. I assume is first 5 inning parlays are even better - for example, +1.5 -150 parlayed with u5.5 -120.

I am wondering because I found a site that allows these bets but has a ton of juice so they are quite worse than market numbers. Could I still blindly bet these or do I need to cherry pick and find lines that are at least close to market?

If someone gives me a detailed and thoughtful answer I will tell them the site.
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Old 06-17-2017, 09:37 PM   #2
akkopower1
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Re: baseball correlated parlays

Quote:
Originally Posted by Like View Post
Any idea on how profitable parlaying overs with -1.5 run lines is? (at slightly worse than market prices).

Same question with first 5 inning lines. I assume is first 5 inning parlays are even better - for example, +1.5 -150 parlayed with u5.5 -120.

I am wondering because I found a site that allows these bets but has a ton of juice so they are quite worse than market numbers. Could I still blindly bet these or do I need to cherry pick and find lines that are at least close to market?

If someone gives me a detailed and thoughtful answer I will tell them the site.
I thought about doing something similiar in rugby. I looked at data for over 3000 games. The correlation only existed when they was a major difference in the two teams.
i.e. when the line was -13.5 or bigger, then high win margins is correlated with high total scores.
Some bookies in my country allow the parlay, but after their juice, no profit for the punter.
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Old 06-17-2017, 10:51 PM   #3
JC82
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Re: baseball correlated parlays

Where are you finding +1.5 lines for first 5 innings? I dont recall ever seeing that
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Old 06-18-2017, 09:48 AM   #4
Mihkel05
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Re: baseball correlated parlays

I am very amused by this thread. Keep up the good work.
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Old 06-18-2017, 11:12 AM   #5
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Re: baseball correlated parlays

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Originally Posted by JC82 View Post
Where are you finding +1.5 lines for first 5 innings? I dont recall ever seeing that
Its pretty standard.

I dont think they are as great as I thought, not good enough to bet into really bad lines at least.
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Old 06-18-2017, 02:36 PM   #6
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Re: baseball correlated parlays

"pretty standard"

As in basically offered no where. Great one!
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Old 06-18-2017, 07:15 PM   #7
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Re: baseball correlated parlays

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Where are you finding +1.5 lines for first 5 innings? I dont recall ever seeing that
Yea sorry theyare actually +.5/-.5. I thought they were 1.5 for some reason.
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