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Old 08-27-2010, 09:40 AM   #61
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

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Redskins or Giants make the playoffs for sure. Why you would pick two teams in a division known for parity makes no sense at all.

Raiders Rams, Bills, Bucs, Browns, and Chiefs have two games against each other or the worst teams in their conference, so if a team can go 6-8 or 7-7 for their non flex games and win their two flex games to go 8-8 or 9-7, then they have a decent shot at making the playoffs.

How can Redskins and Giants make the playoffs "for sure" with Dallas and Philly both presenting very strong teams in the same division?

That division is insane.
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Old 08-27-2010, 01:49 PM   #62
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

i think skins will finally wake up this year.. dont think that they will be able to best dallas though..(and i hate dallas)
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Old 08-27-2010, 04:38 PM   #63
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

This looks sick. Def gonna try it out. Hopefully I'll be able to convince people to take 7 teams lol
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Old 08-27-2010, 09:02 PM   #64
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

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Do you mind answering why not?

I'm not super balla and don't know anything about the NFL but I'd be willing to book some bets (up to maybe $2000 in total) since the math looks OK to me (the only bookie odds I could find in European suggest that the worst 6 teams are about even money to all not make the playoffs) and I need some action to keep me interested as I am playing fantasy NFL this year.

Escrow if we can agree on a person and they will do it otherwise matchbook Xbets look like it will work?
I'll do it for 2K if you want. You can just escrow to me as I've got hundreds of sports bets for $500-$5K in the HSNL sports betting thread on the honor system.
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Old 08-28-2010, 01:32 AM   #65
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

Booking a lot of action on 7 teams at work. Wondering if I should bet 6 from each against someone on here to get the freeroll
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Old 08-28-2010, 07:12 PM   #66
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

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How can Redskins and Giants make the playoffs "for sure" with Dallas and Philly both presenting very strong teams in the same division?

That division is insane.
The past 6 years only the Redskins from 2008-2009 and Cowboys 2004-2005 did not mak the playoffs after missing the playoffs the previous year. In 2006 and 2007 three teams from the division made the playoffs. I guess I shouldn't have used overstatement but the "for sure" basically means that choosing two teams from the NFC East to not make the playoffs is madness.
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Old 08-29-2010, 06:53 AM   #67
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

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I'll do it for 2K if you want. You can just escrow to me as I've got hundreds of sports bets for $500-$5K in the HSNL sports betting thread on the honor system.
I'd prefer to take a variety of smaller bets to spread the risk (I meant $2k total not $2k limit per bet) but if nobody else is interested I'll take it all on one set of teams and cross my fingers one of them makes it.
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Old 08-29-2010, 11:51 PM   #68
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

Lions, Browns, Raiders, Rams, Seahawks, Bills
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Old 08-30-2010, 06:08 PM   #69
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

Booked this bet for 8 people. For some reason, I think I am going to lose every bet?? Does it feel to all of you who booked this that every single team that your people picked are not going to make the playoff?? 8 people at $20 for me. I think I'll be dishing out $160 bucks!
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Old 08-30-2010, 06:34 PM   #70
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

Yes, I certainly feel like I will be a loser. I'm trusting in the math though.
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Old 08-30-2010, 10:53 PM   #71
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

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Booked this bet for 8 people. For some reason, I think I am going to lose every bet?? Does it feel to all of you who booked this that every single team that your people picked are not going to make the playoff?? 8 people at $20 for me. I think I'll be dishing out $160 bucks!
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Yes, I certainly feel like I will be a loser. I'm trusting in the math though.
relax.
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Old 09-01-2010, 11:44 PM   #72
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

To those fretting, you have short memories. You do not realize how close in talent a 4th-6th seed in the playoffs is to a 4-win team. Good luck goes a long way in this sport. A series of bad breaks and injuries can make a 10 or 11-win quality team finish at 5-11. It doesn't take much for a 4, 5, or 6 win teams can turn the ship around very quickly.

I personally think the Browns are going to be the rambling wreck in these tickets this year. They have one of the top offensive lines in the league and a veteran QB that appears to be finding his form. Good shutdown corners (Brown, Wright) and one of the best DTs in the game in Shaun Rogers. Cribbs and Massaquoi are playmakers too. They are my surprise team this year. If they stay healthy and get a couple breaks, they can win 10 games.

The Chiefs are another one with alot of young blossoming talent (Charles, Bowe) with some new veteran coordinators that know how to win (Weis, Crennel) as coordinators.
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Old 09-02-2010, 12:28 AM   #73
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

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Originally Posted by metsman82 View Post
To those fretting, you have short memories. You do not realize how close in talent a 4th-6th seed in the playoffs is to a 4-win team. Good luck goes a long way in this sport. A series of bad breaks and injuries can make a 10 or 11-win quality team finish at 5-11. It doesn't take much for a 4, 5, or 6 win teams can turn the ship around very quickly.

I personally think the Browns are going to be the rambling wreck in these tickets this year. They have one of the top offensive lines in the league and a veteran QB that appears to be finding his form. Good shutdown corners (Brown, Wright) and one of the best DTs in the game in Shaun Rogers. Cribbs and Massaquoi are playmakers too. They are my surprise team this year. If they stay healthy and get a couple breaks, they can win 10 games.

The Chiefs are another one with alot of young blossoming talent (Charles, Bowe) with some new veteran coordinators that know how to win (Weis, Crennel) as coordinators.
You must be allin on browns over 5.5 wins. Delhomme was was one of the worst starting qbs last year. Cleveland's defense was one of the worst defenses last year. AFC north has several competitive teams. basically, it is is highly unlikely that Cleveland makes the playoffs.
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Old 09-02-2010, 01:58 AM   #74
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

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You must be allin on browns over 5.5 wins. Delhomme was was one of the worst starting qbs last year. Cleveland's defense was one of the worst defenses last year. AFC north has several competitive teams. basically, it is is highly unlikely that Cleveland makes the playoffs.
Key words in your post: "Last Year". There's a reason picking 6 teams to miss the playoffs is a massive sucker bet, year after year after year. You just highlighted why.

Also, it helps if you get your facts straight. There were 10 teams in the league who gave up more points per game than Cleveland last year. If "one of the worst defenses" includes bottom half, I suppose you are correct. They were 8th in the league in sacks, and in the better half of completion % allowed. But the truth is that they were in the middle of the pack, with an offense that couldn't hold onto the ball (Next to worse in 1st downs/game). Since then they've added Sheldon Brown (a top 30 corner) to their secondary and some depth to their linebacking corp with Fujita and Gocong.

Last edited by metsman82; 09-02-2010 at 02:09 AM.
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Old 09-02-2010, 02:19 AM   #75
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Re: 6 Teams That Won't Make The NFL Playoffs

The Lions and Bears being better helps. It gets harder for both the Pack and the Vikings to advance.
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