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2016 Nomination and Election Betting Thread 2016 Nomination and Election Betting Thread

11-08-2016 , 11:19 PM
dump truck
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11-08-2016 , 11:29 PM
goodbye 1k
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11-08-2016 , 11:30 PM
USA strikes back! RIP Nate Silver
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11-08-2016 , 11:30 PM
I guess Silver is the genius again he was only guy to have trump >15% personally I thought hilldog was a lock but no value at the numbers on offer ended up playing small for action anyway.

Fortunately had Rubio and the republican from NC beat the close by like 200 points on each pretty easy wins.
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11-08-2016 , 11:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gmcarroll33
USA strikes back! RIP Nate Silver
Yeah I just really disagree with this, I don't even like the guy but everywhere I read the hate was that he gave Trump too much of a chance. Other forecasts and betting markets had Trump in low-mid teens. Huffpo had him at 3% to win LOL.
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11-08-2016 , 11:36 PM
Well to me at least Nate just seemed to be trying to cover his ass with the stuff swoop posted a few days ago trying to offer a contrarian idea on how Trump was closer than you think at best. He still had Hilldawg as basically a gigantic fav the entire way throughout this election and all throughout the debates
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11-08-2016 , 11:39 PM
Yeah I mean the guy produced poll based forecasts of election results based on previous polling data. Can't see how you wouldn't have hillary as a medium to large favorite based on that methodology. There are likely better ways to figure out who wins an election, my guess is the people who have those cleaned up in the stock and bond markets not tiny betting markets.
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11-08-2016 , 11:41 PM
Winner of 2016 US Presidential General Election?
Hillary Clinton
+379
Donald Trump and all others
-520

should we sell all our trump positions now?
2016 Nomination and Election Betting Thread Quote
11-08-2016 , 11:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by The IRS
Yeah I mean the guy produced poll based forecasts of election results based on previous polling data. Can't see how you wouldn't have hillary as a medium to large favorite based on that methodology. There are likely better ways to figure out who wins an election, my guess is the people who have those cleaned up in the stock and bond markets not tiny betting markets.
I know what you're saying and I'm basically having fun at the moment, but like Thremp said, he massively failed to properly give weight to voter turnout support like Obama had. Hard to do I guess
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11-08-2016 , 11:53 PM
Yeah I'm kind of just laughing at the whole thing as well only thing I'm a little worried about is whether CRIS stays solvent hope they werent "taking a position" on hilldog...
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11-08-2016 , 11:55 PM
I RETRACT ALL OF MY STATEMENTS ABOUT THREMP... THE GUY KNEW
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11-09-2016 , 12:07 AM
Too soon rsigs. -720 now. Basically a total flip flop from a few hours prior to the election.
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11-09-2016 , 12:10 AM
my initial plan was to sell after FL hoping he'd win but then taiwan came in and you never doubt taiwan steam
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11-09-2016 , 12:14 AM
No arguments
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11-09-2016 , 12:22 AM
3-18-16
Quote:
Originally Posted by NajdorfDefense
When I saw your hilarious bets against Trump and on Bush I gave up long before I got to the ******s itt.



I dunno, what are the odds in an election where nobody wants to ever hear the name Bush again and Hilldog is regarded as 'dishonest/untrustworthy' by 55% of Democrats that a protest candidate would be a good pick?


What are the ODDS??
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11-09-2016 , 12:24 AM
najdor do you want to be special east coast correspondent once we get the ny times deal

poll the farmersonly.com members in states like PA who aren't captured by the traditional polls
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11-09-2016 , 12:46 AM
Even after Wisconsin of all states has been turned red, you can still pick up Trump at -1100, time to back up the truck
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11-09-2016 , 12:52 AM
i love this forum
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11-09-2016 , 01:07 AM
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11-09-2016 , 01:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
najdor do you want to be special east coast correspondent once we get the ny times deal

poll the farmersonly.com members in states like PA who aren't captured by the traditional polls
Not a single liberal millennial I know turned out for HJC. Almost all of them are women. They wrote in Bernie, voted Gary or stayed home.

Sigley, I'm flying out to you actually now that pot is legal in NV, can you sell me one of your wax houses? Just leave the address in a crypto-key and we can keep this online and anonymous.
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11-09-2016 , 02:05 AM
Make wax houses great again.
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11-09-2016 , 03:27 AM
Does anyone know when payouts occur on this result?
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11-09-2016 , 03:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spooner90
Does anyone know when payouts occur on this result?
January
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11-09-2016 , 04:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spooner90
Does anyone know when payouts occur on this result?
im guessing by tomorrow. though id like to know that too
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11-09-2016 , 05:50 AM
is it confirmed 100% that a bet on the election through a sportsbook wouldnt be paid out until january? never bet on election before so wondering if this is standard or another loophole books use to freeroll the winners.
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