What's up with the sudden reversal of line movement in the caro/dallas game ?

If CAR loses this game, I hope they lose every game for the rest of the year.

Well it could Be a lot of factors. For one romois a fine qb until December!ber and January. I mean he isn't the guy you want when your team needs 1 win to make the playoffs

I think Det -2.5 Dal -1 and Chi +7.5 are good picks. The lines in Det and Dal clearly try to scare you to bet on those teams. And both of the teams need a win to at least cheer the home crowd, you can't just lose every time.

According to killer sports since 1990 only on HF has lost on turkey day. Sadly for me it was dallas

Cam Newton is the boss. Panthers ftw. Hell I might even take them -6!

More sensibly though, I've got the Lions, only managed to get -3 though

Gotta disagree on that one.

His middling 50 percent completion rate is horrid. He's only looking better now with JStew getting more carries. Reminds me of when people thought Vince Young was a god. Playing a high variance style of ball and hes just running good right now.

Oh there's a good chance I'm just punting tonight! 😂

For me it's Carolina at -2. I just don't see the Cowboys beating Carolina but getting +2 on them is really tempting.

I was just disagreeing with the Cam Newton statement haha.

That game scares me too much to consider it.

Cowboys have the edge rushers to contain Cam. Romo also can keep up no problem.

Its such an iffy game knowing which way it will go.

Not sure how accurate they are but fivethirtyeight has the game capped at caro-4.5. So I sure hope they're off on this one

You have to take the Boys at +4.5 there for sure.

Dallas/Carolina is going to be the lol game of the year for betting purposes. I'm teased across the 7 in both directions. I have no idea why or which one is good, lol. What a ****show...

Not a betting site. They use an elo model to make their own lines

Back to pk

Well my under is done for and the 2nd half hasn't even started

87-71+15.04
Det-2.5-112 2 units
Det u46-112 5.35 units
Boys-2 5 units
Det+.5-123 2h 4.06 units

I don't think this takes into account starting QBs. Romo has only played 3 games this year, so looking at season long stats I think this is about right. Romo should add ~6 points so makes sense that line is DAL -1. Motivation strongly favors DAL as every remaining game for them is must win. I haven't looked into it, but I also suspect DET and DAL have historically done well on Thanksgiving.

The sharps are clearly on DAL side, but we'll see. CAR has done very well vs the spread this year and I think no one "believes" that their as good as they are til their blowout win last week. I bet the open at +1.5 CAR and then teased them, hoping the line moves back so I can tease DAL too, but I think it will prob hold steady at DAL -1.

Im about to Fire Carolina HARD, keep it simple dont over think it.

2001 Green Bay Packers 29 Detroit Lions 27 L
2002 New England Patriots 20 Detroit Lions 12 L
2003 Detroit Lions 22 Green Bay Packers 14 W
2004 Indianapolis Colts 41 Detroit Lions 9 L
2005 Atlanta Falcons 27 Detroit Lions 7 L
2006 Miami Dolphins 27 Detroit Lions 10 L
2007 Green Bay Packers 37 Detroit Lions 26 L
2008 Tennesseee Titans 47 Detroit Lions 10 L
2009 Green Bay Packers 34 Detroit Lions 12 L
2010 New England Patriots 45 Detroit Lions 24 L
2011 Green Bay Packers 27 Detroit Lions 15 L
2012 Houston Texans 34 Detroit Lions 31 L (OT)

The Carolina line is so ****ing mind-boggling I'm not gonna bet it. Can't do it. No idea wtf is going on.

Just a guess but I think sharps hit the boys at pk. That's the only thing that makes sense as public have been on caro all week. The after they got the line they wanted they left it alone. Since then public has been dumping money on caro.

Now look up all the spreads add 2013-2015 and do DAL. Line has moved to DAL +1 and I was able to tease the other side . Only question now is whether to hedge on CHI ML or let it ride...

87-71+15.04
Det-2.5-112 2 units
Det u46-112 5.35 units
Boys-2 5 units
Det+.5-123 2h 4.06 units
Boys-105 13.33 units

Fine. I have to bet it.

Small bet on Dallas +1.

Edit : full bet on Dallas +1.