2015 NFL Week 12 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Gonna make a proper thread with lines (as of posting) this week. You're welcome.

PHI PK
DET PK

CAR -1
DAL +1

CHI +9
GB -9

NOR +3
HOU -3

MIN +2
ATL -2

STL +9
CIN -9

TB +3
IND -3

NYG -2.5
WAS +2.5

OAK -1.5
TEN +1.5

BUF +5
KC -5

MIA +3.5
NYJ -3.5

SD +4
JAC -4

ARI -10.5
SF +10.5

PIT +4
SEA -4

NE -3
DEN +3

BAL +2.5
CLE -2.5

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11-24-2015 , 02:45 PM

BraveJayhawk

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Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

I don't bet, but hot damn Atlanta -2 & Tennessee +2 look so sexy

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11-24-2015 , 03:19 PM

Crazy Joe Davola

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 2,165

What is going on with that Dallas/Carolina spread???

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11-24-2015 , 03:28 PM

hfrog355

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Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Quote:

Originally Posted by Crazy Joe Davola

What is going on with that Dallas/Carolina spread???

No idea, but I've learned to not instantly fire when I see stuff like that. There's something going on there. My hope is for it to move to 1.5 and then I'm getting Dallas in some WONGs. No idea why, but someone knows something...

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11-24-2015 , 04:00 PM

hfrog355

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Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

And by "I've learned" of course I mean I snap took OAK -1.5 last week.

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11-24-2015 , 07:57 PM

hfrog355

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Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

YTD: 58-44-3 +10.775 units

Got a bunch of family coming in so I fired for the week today. Not ideal but it was when I had time.

Cleveland -2.5
Tampa Bay ML +160
New York Giants -2.5
Pittsburgh +4
PHI/DET Under 45.5
CAR/DAL Under 46
PIT/SEA Over 45
NE/DEN Under 44
-120: Dallas +7.5/Cincy -2.5 2u
-110: Minnesota +8/Tennessee +7.5 2u

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11-25-2015 , 02:57 AM

CohibaBehike

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 3,651

YTD 5-1

had to fire today as well

Denver +3
Redskins +2.5
Detroit Pick
Dallas Pick
Atlanta -2

+180: Minnesota +8.5/Tennessee +8/Washington +7.5

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11-25-2015 , 11:54 AM

The Bukafax

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 2,520

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

I don't bet, but hot damn Atlanta -2 & Tennessee +2 look so sexy

Your liking Tenn. in that spot?

Im opposite of you on that, snap take -2 Oak lol. That line seems like it should be 3.5.

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11-25-2015 , 12:36 PM

Enrico Pallazzo

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 284

Fake 3+1 continued
Last week 1-3 -400
YTD 25-15 +2200

400 CAR/DAL U45.5
300 KC/BUF U42
200 NYG-3
100 NE-3

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11-25-2015 , 12:56 PM

#10

hfrog355

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Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Detroit PK

Looking to get Houston too but am hoping for 2.5.

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11-25-2015 , 07:48 PM

#11

Crazy Joe Davola

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 2,165

Top six favorite plays:

Giants -2.5 (@ WAS)
Packers -9 (vs. CHI)
Chiefs -5 (vs. BUF)
Dolphins +3.5 (@ NYJ)
Chargers +3.5 (@ JAX)
Eagles PK (@ DET)

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11-25-2015 , 10:16 PM

#12

grumpy64

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Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

Boys are now the fav despite caro getting 85 percent of the action. Was hoping to get Dallas at + money but I had to go ahead on lock them in at-2

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11-25-2015 , 11:58 PM

#13

grumpy64

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Well now i'm seeing juiced 1s

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11-26-2015 , 12:24 AM

#14

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Yeah, that's some sharp sharp money showing on Dallas.

Is it stupid to tease Carolina if I can WONG it? I've already got the Dallas side WONGED from when they were dogs. I remember Wong talking about not teasing teams in the same game, but I believe he was talking about teasing them both at the same time and specifically in the same bet. What about this situation where I bet early and the line has now swung the other way and I can correctly get across the 3 and the 7 going the other way?

Last edited by hfrog355; 11-26-2015 at 12:31 AM.

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11-26-2015 , 01:40 AM

#15

hfrog355

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Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Whatever. Went ahead and booked:
-110: Carolina +7.5/GB -2.5 2u

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11-26-2015 , 11:15 AM

#16

Crazy Joe Davola

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 2,165

As a Redskins fan, believe me when I tell you that the Giants are one of the easiest picks of the week. NYG has completely pwned the Redskins for a long while.

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11-26-2015 , 11:19 AM

#17

OzExorcist

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 628

56-47-1 +0.26u YTD

Phi+2.5 1u @ 2.02 (Betfair)
Car SU 1u @ 2.08 (Pinnacle)

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11-26-2015 , 11:26 AM

#18

ico2525

banned

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 814

Hi guys, Happy Thxgvn

Can someone explain how the Panthers are pickem? I'm confused why they aren't 4 or 5 point favorites.

Quote

11-26-2015 , 11:48 AM

#19

OzExorcist

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 628

And early bets for Sunday games:

NO+3 1u @ 1.97 (Pinnacle)
NE-3 1u @ 2.02 (Pinnacle)

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11-26-2015 , 12:15 PM

#20

The Bukafax

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 2,520

Quote:

Originally Posted by ico2525

Hi guys, Happy Thxgvn

Can someone explain how the Panthers are pickem? I'm confused why they aren't 4 or 5 point favorites.

Rofl, you found them down to pick em? The line was at -2 Cowboys yesterday lol

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11-26-2015 , 12:22 PM

#21

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by ico2525

Hi guys, Happy Thxgvn

Can someone explain how the Panthers are pickem? I'm confused why they aren't 4 or 5 point favorites.

I'm confused as well. Dallas or skip, I guess.

lol Carolina is -1. wtf.

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11-26-2015 , 12:25 PM

#22

ico2525

banned

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 814

Bukafax, your avatar seems to capture your persona perfectly. Anything insightful?

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11-26-2015 , 12:27 PM

#23

ico2525

banned

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 814

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

I'm confused as well. Dallas or skip, I guess.

lol Carolina is -1. wtf.

+1 at the moment

Quote

11-26-2015 , 12:40 PM

#24

The Bukafax

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 2,520

Quote:

Originally Posted by ico2525

Bukafax, your avatar seems to capture your persona perfectly. Anything insightful?

Haha, sadly nothing insightful on that game. Such a weird line on top of the movements.

My top picks are:

NYG -2.5@Was
TB@IND3.5
STL@CIN9

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11-26-2015 , 01:10 PM

#25

grumpy64

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Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

87-71+15.04
Det-2.5-112 2 units
Det u46-112 5.35 units
Boys-2 5 units

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