i quite like saints -3 in the dome at even money, what are your reasons for ravens grumpy?

also hoping public take vikings back out to +10

These ain't your dad's saints or even last Years saints. My knee jerk reaction was omg saints can't lose 2 in a row at home but IMO they are an average team that's still over valued by the public.

95-97+1.187
raiders+7.5-120 3 units
Atl-3.5+106 2 units
Tnf O20-113 2h
Balt+3+102 2 units
Minn+10-120
bears O46-113 2 units
Sd-5 2 units
Det+7-114 2 units
Jets+122

have already lost 2 in a row

Yeah but he's right. The Saints just aren't that good. Sure, they can still have good games, but they aren't what they used to be.

YTD 8-5 +2.25 units

sunday card

Cleveland +145
Cleveland/Atlanta Under 47 1/2
Detroit +275 (1/2 unit)
Detroit +7.5
Tampa Bay +200
Tampa Bay+6
Tennesse/Philadelphia Under 49 1/2
Arizona/Seattle Over 41
Wash/SF Under 44 1/2
Dallas -3
Dallas/NY Under 48 1/2

6 pt Teasers:

Denver-1/Green Bay-2
SF-3/Green Bay-2
SF-3/Denver-1
SF-3/Denver-1/Green Bay -2 +160

The teasers are as square as it gets.

gl on Sunday

Gb over 14.5 half
Gb over 28 team total

Can it be that easy?

I posted earlier in the week that I would be going against SF the rest of the way. I didn't realize they were playing the RGIII's at home. Washington is a dumpster fire and even though the Niners have problems they should be able to handle a super dysfunctional east coast team coming west on the long trip. I like them enough to tease them but I don't like the Niners to cover the -9 and neither does Pinnacle because they are one of the few online spots hanging - 8 1/2 and are asking for SF money. That said there is no way in hell I would take Wash +9 here.

I almost added Seattle -1 to my teasers but decided against it due to the super bowl hangover factor. I would not back Arizona here because I don't believe Stanton can pull it off in a hostile enviroment but it feels like an anything can happen kind of game and i am staying away from it other than an over bet on the total.

The Dallas line has already moved to - 3 1/2 and is climbing and will go higher by Sunday night. I got down at -3 on Monday. I would consider taking Dallas -4 at +105 or better if it shows up. For grading purposes here, I will take Dallas -3 -135 which is available on 5Dimes right now. All of my other listed plays are at -110 or at the listed money lines which are widely available online at time of posting.

I just posted a whole treatise on why I am looking at unders in 3 games...but the internet ate it somehow and it never made it. I don't feel like retyping but will add that I am looking for better numbers to bet unders in the following games based on weather, wind (especially) and personnel issues.

Detroit/New England (currently at 48 1/2) depending on weather reports 24 hours before game time I will fire on this at under 49 or better. Will consider at under 48 1/2 +100 or better. Detroit defense is going to give Brady trouble and Detroit offense is no great shakes.

Miami/Denver (currently at 48). Looking for 49 or better. Expected to be gusty and cold and I do not believe Miami will be firing on all cylinders in these conditions. Denver is banged up and this feels like a get it done and run out the clock game.

Tenn/Philly (currently at 48 1/2). This number is based on Nick Foles leading the offense. Mark Sanchez isn't the same QB. Yes the system in Philly is good but Sanchize will throw an ill-timed pick or 2 or have a bad exchange with a running back and cost them points.

As long as there is no snow, the public should push all these numbers up by betting the overs on Sunday morning. I also expect Dallas/NY to possibly close at 49 by game time and I would add to my position if it does.

One last note on Arizona/Seattle. Seattle's starting center is out. That is a big deal and another reason that I would not back Seattle here.

Det/NE weather looking good for foxboro tmrw, sunny and clear 52 degrees is the forecast for game time. opened at 48, can be found 47 1/2 to 48 1/2...i will be looking for best possible number to bet under tmrw b4 game.

Tenn/Philly opened 48 and has been pushed up to 48 1/2...i have it listed at 49 1/2 in my picks, thats a typo I have them at 48 1/2...weather looks good for philly, will be adding to position at game time assuming number gets pushed up by public.

Mia/Denver wind will be a factor...gusts over 15 mph are forecast for game time. This opened at 50 and has gone lower to 47 1/2...i missed the opener and unless Joe Public moves it up, i will be passing...48 is a key number for totals.

NY/Dallas wind not expected to be a factor. Since the over is 10-1 on Sunday nights, this is a bet the under 1 minute before game time to get the best number...especially if the favorites are winning on Sunday.

95-97+1.187
raiders+7.5-120 3 units
Atl-3.5+106 2 units
Tnf O20-113 2h
Balt+3+102 2 units
Minn+10-120
bears O46-113 2 units
Sd-5 2 units
Det+7-114 2 units
Jets+122
Denver under 47.5 3 units
Minn O49.5-112

95-97+1.187
raiders+7.5-120 3 units
Atl-3.5+106 2 units
Tnf O20-113 2h
Balt+3+102 2 units
Minn+10-120
bears O46-113 2 units
Sd-5 2 units
Det+7-114 2 units
Jets+122
Denver under 47.5 3 units
Minn O49.5-112
Minn+305 .66 units

Sunday:

Packers -8.5 -110
Patriots -7.5 -110
Falcons -3 -110
Titans +12 -110
Cardinals +7.5 -110
Cowboys -4 -110

posted earlier in week:

Cleveland +145
Cleveland/Atlanta Under 47 ½ (line moved against me, you can find better this AM)
Detroit +275 (1/2 unit)
Detroit +7.5
Tampa Bay +200
Tampa Bay+6
Tennesse/Philadelphia Under 48 1/2
Arizona/Seattle Over 41
Wash/SF Under 44 1/2
Dallas -3 -135
Dallas/NY Under 48 1/2

6 pt Teasers:

Denver-1/Green Bay-2
SF-3/Green Bay-2
SF-3/Denver-1
SF-3/Denver-1/Green Bay -2 +160

adding sunday morning:

Tenn +12
Tenn/Philly Under 49 ½
GB/Minn Under 50 ½ (Fog expected)
Houston – 2 1/2

still trying to get best poss number on Det/NE under and Mia/Denv under

Square Ass Teaser for the 1'oclocks

2 teamer
NE-1.5
Greenbay-3

Lions +7 +105

Add to my misery.

Patriots live -6.5 -115
Titans live +17.5 -120

Tenn defense is already gassed with 5 minutes left in 1st quarter

That game is going over.

Adding 2h plays:
Patriots 2h -3 even
Colts 2h -6.5 -105
Bengals +2.5 -105

2 pick parley
Denver -7
Skins +10

95-97+1.187
raiders+7.5-120 3 units
Atl-3.5+106 2 units
Tnf O20-113 2h
Balt+3+102 2 units
Minn+10-120
bears O46-113 2 units
Sd-5 2 units
Det+7-114 2 units
Jets+122
Denver under 47.5 3 units
Minn O49.5-112
Minn+305 .66 units
Gmen+4-105 4 units

NY/Dallas under 49 1/2 - 2 units

6 pt Teaser:
Dallas +1/NY Jets + 8

You're on fire

Teams that have lost 4 str8 both ats and su cover at over 60 percent. SD fit but lost ats as they refused to play defense at the end. Gmen also fit and hopefully for my sake they will cover.

The 80% system is also in play