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Old 05-17-2012, 10:49 AM   #61
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Re: 2012 Golf

Quote:
Originally Posted by yea buddy View Post
Nice, I like that.

My only play this week was Keegan Bradley +128 over Bubba Watson Full Tournament Matchup for 2.0 to win 2.56.

It is kinda funny that my two largest and only wins this year in golf (Mahan 55-1 to win Matchplay and Bubba 50-1 to win Masters) came in threads in this forum devoted solely to that event and I am 0fer itt. Maybe I should create a new thread devoted to each tournament for the rest of the PGA Tour season!?
how does the TPC Nelson play? also, do you know a good website to find a good overview of all the PGA courses???
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Old 05-17-2012, 02:08 PM   #62
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I've never found one. Just google the tournament name and type in "inside the course" or try the same thing in the search bar on pgatour.com
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Old 05-17-2012, 02:43 PM   #63
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Re: 2012 Golf

tour tips is a great site, not free though
gives great break downs like below, a 5 year stat ranking history of the top 5 finishers in the current event

Stats Rankings of the Top-5
2011 Surname First Name DD DA GIR SC PA Par3 Par4 Par5
Bradley Keegan 7 11 6 5 47 59 2 2
Day Jason 20 68 22 49 5 1 29 15
Imada Ryuji 70 7 1 66 29 45 2 15
Ogilvie Joe 27 11 30 59 2 30 5 15
Palmer Ryan 5 58 13 39 14 45 1 15
2010
Adams Blake 12 36 26 6 11 17 16 1
Beckman Cameron 53 1 3 40 33 47 4 5
Day Jason 33 51 50 5 1 7 2 29
Gay Brian 68 1 7 12 10 28 1 39
Overton Jeff 5 58 12 11 40 6 4 39
Verplank Scott 61 10 1 57 19 57 3 5
2009
Davis Brian 71 19 4 8 8 7 3 27
Johnson Dustin 1 56 16 46 13 52 1 48
McCarron Scott 56 1 1 50 20 14 3 48
Points D.A. 27 6 16 1 6 14 1 67
Sabbatini Rory 37 28 39 5 1 2 3 27
2008
Bryant Bart 56 7 3 29 21 1 8 52
Hensby Mark 34 47 31 41 16 7 42 2
Moore Ryan 15 17 34 41 1 24 3 1
Pettersson Carl 17 22 25 36 17 7 3 68
Scott Adam 7 35 11 13 9 35 1 11
Thompson Nicholas 31 47 43 5 7 47 2 11
2007
Donald Luke 47 1 7 10 23 9 5 6
Kelly Jerry 64 6 48 1 19 41 1 25
Mickelson Phil 21 46 48 6 2 4 15 6
Poulter Ian 31 17 9 47 9 41 1 25
Sabbatini Rory 27 24 20 8 7 9 5 25
Verplank Scott 61 8 5 4 16 1 3 45

sorry bout the eyebleed copy and paste!
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Old 05-17-2012, 02:46 PM   #64
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Re: 2012 Golf

the #1 most important stat @ the byron nelson has gotta be par4ability, add that to yo urban dictionary
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Old 05-21-2012, 11:32 AM   #65
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Re: 2012 Golf

any1 got anything goin for the crown plaza or BMV this week??
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Old 05-21-2012, 11:58 AM   #66
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Re: 2012 Golf

Quote:
Originally Posted by trashman View Post
Byron Nelson

Top 20 finish:

Pat Perez +300 1u W

Stickinsect III +225 L
2012

ytd +2u

top 20's +2u
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Old 05-21-2012, 01:16 PM   #67
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Re: 2012 Golf

24 May 2012 - Crowne Plaza Invitational - Top 10 Finish

Bo Van Pelt @ +275

1u
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Old 05-23-2012, 07:16 PM   #68
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Re: 2012 Golf

Good thread. I love betting on the golf...

Colonial

George McNeill @ 370 20k ftw. On the fringes of contention at Quail Hollow (needed a final round 68 to get into playoff), one horror round away from a very respectable finish at Sawgrass, already has the comfort of a PGA tour victory under his belt (weak event I know). Anyways happy to take a chance at that price, he's clearly playing some decent stuff, could contend again, even if his course form shows very little, think he's overpriced and is a bit under the radar all the time.

Brian Harman @ 300

Euro Tour PGA Championship

Kaymer @ 32
Karlsson @75
Luiten @160
Kruger @ 350

Also a saver on McIlroy.
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Old 05-24-2012, 01:54 AM   #69
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Re: 2012 Golf

took a look at mcneil, but like you say course form in the lone star state hasn't been kind to him, although anyone that shoots 68 around sawgrass, and can contend at quail hollow clearly has potential

George McNeill 5/29/2011 Byron Nelson Championship Texas PGA 32 69 74 73 70
George McNeill 5/22/2011 Crowne Plaza Invitational Texas PGA mc 73 74
George McNeill 5/30/2010 Crowne Plaza Invitational Texas PGA mc 68 75
George McNeill 5/23/2010 Byron Nelson Championship Texas PGA mc 75 69
George McNeill 5/31/2009 Crowne Plaza Invitational Texas PGA 41 68 70 68 69
George McNeill 5/24/2009 Byron Nelson Championship Texas PGA 16 69 67 66 70
George McNeill 5/25/2008 Crowne Plaza Invitational Texas PGA 33 69 71 68 70
George McNeill 4/27/2008 Byron Nelson Championship Texas PGA 50 72 70 71 74
George McNeill 4/6/2008 Houston Open Texas PGA w 77
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Old 05-24-2012, 02:12 AM   #70
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Re: 2012 Golf

adding:

Crowne Plaza Invitational
Top 20 Finish?
John Senden
+220

1u
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Old 05-31-2012, 01:51 PM   #71
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Re: 2012 Golf

John Byrd +500 for a top 10 @ the memorial
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Old 05-31-2012, 01:54 PM   #72
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^^^ hitting some great form, and has had 2 top 10s round here in the last 3 years, as strong as the field is, this is a good value price
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Old 06-04-2012, 05:06 AM   #73
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Re: 2012 Golf

Quote:
Originally Posted by trashman View Post
24 May 2012 - Crowne Plaza Invitational - Top 10 Finish

Bo Van Pelt @ +275 L

1u
Quote:
Originally Posted by trashman View Post
adding:

Crowne Plaza Invitational
Top 20 Finish?
John Senden
+220 L

1u
Quote:
Originally Posted by trashman View Post
John Byrd +500 for a top 10 @ the memorial W
byrdman bogeys the last 2, and still gets 6th

2012

ytd +5u

top 20's 1-2 +1u
top 10's 1-1 +4u
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Old 06-05-2012, 01:23 PM   #74
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Re: 2012 Golf

i'm very interested in analyzing courses as to player types having success

but what i found inmy work is shorter hiiters gravitate to tight courses, long hitters to wider open courses ie. players tailor schedule to courses and it's a major effect

i think it would be valuable analysis at major and the next tier events where everyone plays but then i presume oddsmakers realize luke donald does very well or poorly at that event, for example.
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Old 06-06-2012, 09:02 AM   #75
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Have GMac -145 maxed at a few books vs Paddy. Distance from the center and edge of the fairway stats and gir +100 yards that proclaim GMac as solid as it gets and Paddy a total disaster better not fail me.
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