if we get it in and villain never folds we lose 20$ vs a range of AK+/QQ+
we win 35$ if villain folds so villain would have to fold about 36% of the time to breakeven
if you assume villain is only 4betting such a tight range and rarely 4bet/bluffing you can fold but in most circumstances it just isnt the case(people 4bet wider for value and 4bet/bluff quite often)
Originally Posted by alexuuus
why is his sizing sooo awful?
he is risking too much chips
making it smaller would highly increase the profitability of the bluff(bigger sizing isnt increasing FE too much)