River spot - Small Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

ForeverLearning · 07-18-2012, 09:18 AM

Little info about villain, he's playing 37/26 over 27 hands

I am wondering what would be the most profitable line on the river

[hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #13543602

BTN: $101.50 (101.5 bb)
Hero (SB): $104.23 (104.2 bb)
BB: $89.50 (89.5 bb)
UTG: $99.88 (99.9 bb)
MP: $40 (40 bb)
CO: $42 (42 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K

K

UTG raises to $3, 3 folds, Hero raises to $10, BB folds, UTG calls $7

Flop: ($21) 8

7

A

(2 players)
Hero bets $10, UTG calls $10

Turn: ($41) T

(2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $12, Hero calls $12

River: ($65) K

(2 players)
Hero ?

WernerCIAm · 07-18-2012, 09:38 AM

I think you need to use a couple of things to get the best option. That being:

Villain doesn't have autoreload on -> the chance he is a fish is bigger.

Villains sizing on the turn is pretty weird ->the chance he is a fish is bigger

Villains nick -> johnny1974 is more fishy than WHATisEV. So what's his nick?

Villains location -> Russians, Greeks and Dutschs are mostly sick and people from Canada are typical pretty sane.

The more fishy he is the more inclined I would be to bet river myself, since he might be more inclined to call any TP and be more inclined to check any TP back.

Comments?

ForeverLearning · 07-18-2012, 09:49 AM

I had a feeling villain was a fish yes. I also thought that he had a lot a weak TPs, 2nd pairs that he was going to check back.

If you lead river how big do you make it?

sinnaJ · 07-19-2012, 12:20 AM

i always feel like getting owned when fishes bet the turn so small and i have a mediocre hand like yours

pokerbobb · 07-19-2012, 02:34 AM

i think you have to bet