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NL50 quite sick spot otr NL50 quite sick spot otr

07-25-2016 , 12:57 PM
[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37398219

BTN: $53 (106 bb)
Hero (SB): $51.50 (103 bb)
BB: $16.30 (32.6 bb)
UTG: $51.26 (102.5 bb)
MP: $67.98 (136 bb)
CO: $50 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 6 6
UTG raises to $1.50, MP folds, CO calls $1.50, BTN folds, Hero calls $1.25, BB folds

Flop: ($5) J J 7 (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, CO checks

Turn: ($5) 6 (3 players)
Hero bets $3.25, UTG calls $3.25, CO folds

River: ($11.50) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $15.65, UTG raises to $46.51 and is all-in

UTG fullring reg, no recent history
Obviosly calling 77. About 66 thinking it is a call, but villian probably never bluffs
07-25-2016 , 05:51 PM
Easy call. I think we see enough AJ QQ+ here to make it profitable long term.
07-25-2016 , 08:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by recondite7
Easy call. I think we see enough AJ QQ+ here to make it profitable long term.
Yeah, I can see a full ring reg shoving QQ+ here. Totally plausible. Oh, you're leveling...I hope.

OP, you know it's a fold so just do it.
07-26-2016 , 03:04 AM
cannot fold this, would fold a J though
07-26-2016 , 03:29 AM
i don't like you river sizing
07-26-2016 , 09:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by .isolated
Yeah, I can see a full ring reg shoving QQ+ here. Totally plausible. Oh, you're leveling...I hope.

OP, you know it's a fold so just do it.
QQ, KK and AA are very unlikely to be here, but the fact AJ alone is a likely holding makes me call here every time.

I understand that this is small stakes full ring, but bet folding here is so disgustingly exploitable I wouldn't do it.

River bet at first glance seemed too big, but there are so many hands with a J in it that will call.
07-26-2016 , 10:26 AM
We only lose to 77 and JJ. Stil, people never bluff into a polarised range. I would probably find a fold.
07-26-2016 , 11:32 AM
del
07-26-2016 , 02:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by recondite7
I understand that this is small stakes full ring, but bet folding here is so disgustingly exploitable I wouldn't do it.
Sure, it is. Are people exploiting it though? Unlikely.

Quote:
QQ, KK and AA are very unlikely to be here, but the fact AJ alone is a likely holding makes me call here every time.
AJ isn't raising an overbet. JJ is a likely holding.

Quote:
River bet at first glance seemed too big, but there are so many hands with a J in it that will call.
exactly. they won't raise. when we do get raised, we're smoked.
07-26-2016 , 08:43 PM
J isn't going to overshove to a river overbet. Either a missed flush trying to shove you off thinking you're bluffing (extremely unlikely) or J7s, JJ or 77.

so this isn't polarized. Either villain is overshoving trips or has you crushed. I think at 50NL, I give benefit to unknowns as not being THIS donkish and therefore it's a fold...

doesn't mean I'm gonna fold, however...hehehehehehe......

But yes, it's a fold.

Also whoever says QQ+ does this is leveling and wishing for best case scenarios. Don't get cute and stop thinking your villain is getting cute. They probably are just boring ABC poker players who are telling the truth with their line. Until you know otherwise.
07-27-2016 , 03:43 AM
Folt

      
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