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NL100 rush good spot/combo to bluff OTR? NL100 rush good spot/combo to bluff OTR?

06-29-2015 , 01:35 PM
Full Tilt - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 107.55 BB (VPIP: 28.72, PFR: 17.20, 3Bet Preflop: 6.82, Hands: 95)
SB: 721.25 BB (VPIP: 20.90, PFR: 15.26, 3Bet Preflop: 6.00, Hands: 2,767)
BB: 101 BB (VPIP: 35.00, PFR: 21.25, 3Bet Preflop: 3.03, Hands: 170)
Hero (UTG): 100 BB
MP: 113.05 BB (VPIP: 22.92, PFR: 18.76, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 780)
CO: 129.8 BB (VPIP: 24.09, PFR: 20.12, 3Bet Preflop: 8.28, Hands: 875)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T T

Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, CO calls 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 2 Q 8
Hero bets 4 BB, CO calls 4 BB

Turn: (14.5 BB, 2 players) 9
Hero checks, CO bets 9.85 BB, Hero calls 9.85 BB

River: (34.2 BB, 2 players) 6
Hero checks, CO bets 23.25 BB, Hero raises to 83.65 BB and is all-in

CO is a solid, quite aggressive reg and I'm pretty sure that he's capable of making thin value bets OTR with hands like TPGK+. What do you think about my line, except it's a bit FPS.

Is it better to just bet turn and bomb river myself?

CO coldcall 11%
AFQ F/T/R 59/60/54
River bet 35%
06-29-2015 , 04:39 PM
I`m check-folding river.

I'd rather call before i shove. Villains river bet should be very Polarized to Straights+ / bluffs. I doubt he is betting river w/ AQ type of hands, but if you think he does that, check-shoving is fine of course.
06-29-2015 , 05:51 PM
Given positons I think his range is too strong to try this and your line looks fos.
06-29-2015 , 06:15 PM
I'd probably x/call flop a lot here.

Don't love your x/r as people tend to get curious there ime, and it kinda looks like you have TT with a diamond

But if he indeed vbets thin and has a fold button it's not awful I suppose.
06-29-2015 , 07:52 PM
Do you ever play flushes like this against him? Looks fos but if I'm vil I'm def going for thin Val with aq 99 maaaybe kq (probably not) and probably nit folding
06-29-2015 , 09:12 PM
I play it differently on earlier streets but as played I think it's fine IF AND ONLY IF you can play value like this. That's the caveot.
06-30-2015 , 04:23 AM
Thanks for the input guys! Agree that my line looks fos, but I would definitely have some value combos here. The problem is that they aren't that many and may be a decent villain wouldn't believe it.
06-30-2015 , 09:01 AM
spew.
06-30-2015 , 09:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nirwanda
I'd probably x/call flop a lot here.
Is that because you're taking that line with Qx a lot?

Or is it because you think his calling range/our betting range is too strong?

      
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