Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1804129
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Hero (CO): $114.65
BTN: $107.24
SB: $100.00
BB: $98.72
UTG: $101.97
MP: $120.61

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is CO with A J
2 folds, Hero raises to $3, BTN calls $3, 1 fold, BB calls $2

Flop: ($9.50) 4 A J (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $7.50, BTN calls $7.50, BB raises to $20, Hero ships?

BTN was 49/10 over 100 hands, fold to cbet 33% (18)

BB seemed to be a fishy reg, running 26/16, call open bb 30%, fold to cbet 45% and raise cbet only 7%, 3bet 3.7% fwiw (shows that he seemes to be quire straightforward). 4k hands

Do you get it in happily vs those types of passive guys? Argument can be made that he may play A4s the same way, but thats only 2 combos.

were only really scared of 44 here that we lose too. calling is inter-desting as it has a better chance of keeping the button in. But alot of turn cards can kill our hand, or makes there stronger.

i think with the dead money in the pot id just ship

Raise to $46

There is no dead money in this spot the BB is repping strength, he is never folding here.

I would just call here to keep the fish in, and play turns, he either has us crushed with a set, or we are against a draw which we know which cards help him, and he will play his hand very straight forward once he gets called. We are getting good odds on a call on the flop and we can keep the fish in. This guy seems to 3bet really low so he can still have JJ here, and seems nitty postflop so I think a call is best, since this guy might not even raise draws here. It is a bit awkward but we can't really fold yet, but shipping is only good with dead money present, which in this case there isn't.

Board: Ah Jc 4h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.048% 25.17% 21.87% 2243 1949.00 { AdJs }
Hand 1: 52.952% 31.08% 21.87% 2769 1949.00 { 44, AJs, A4s, AJo }

With the dead money and the fact that you probably do well against the fish's calling range you can certainly get it in here. But flatting may be better than raising.

Don't really like shipping here since we will most likely shut out the fish. Im not super happy getting it in anyway because villain will either have us crushed or have alot of outs. As you said, A4 is only 2 combos...I say we see a turn.

I wanna call because of the fish on BTN and the fact that BB is also fishy.

We can make our move on a brick turn. Or if we hit A or J on turn then we can check/call to let them catch something by river.

You don't think villain can ever have a combo draw? Wouldn't be shocked if he had KQhh, K10hh, or Q10hh here.

I'm gonna get it in here.

By the reads of BB he doesn't seem the type of player who would raise KQhh here. Thinking as a str84wd player would get him to smooth call OOP the combo draws and play from there on the turn.
He is repping strenght.
I would prefer the line of calling and reassessing turn.

Well my point was that it's OK to get in against a pure value range, but yeah I'd be pretty surprised if he has a combodraw when he cr 2/5 pot oop against two people. If he does have a combodraw then he'll probably bet-call every turn card, so logically there's not much difference between getting it in now and on the turn.

you are missing KQhh, KJhh, QThh , and JJ

i raise small to 42 and get it in on the flop

How do you justify calling off on a heart?

He is not trying to

I didn't say hero should call off on a heart; I was saying that against his combodraw range there's probably not much difference in EV between getting it in here and calling to shove every turn over his bet. I was implying that if you can fold some turns then drawing to a safe turn should have higher EV than getting it in OTF.

I'd just ship the flop. If BB has any common sense he should be checking blank turns with his weak draws so why give him a chance to hit.