Hi everyone,
Got into a spot last night where I took a non standard line, just wanted some opinions. Normally I would xb flop and likely end up folding somewhere later
Only read is that V seems decent, been squeezing a fair amount but hasn't been shown doing it with garbage, mostly blocker stuff ajo, kqo, some 99 and such. Barreling fairly agg post over a really small sample, but I don't think he's very passive from what i'd seen.
My thought process for the hand-
It's a board that will give my flatting range plenty of draws, and I still obv have pairs. Because of this I think he cbets AK near 100%, when he checks flop i think he's pot controlling/has some SDV....
AK is a vb, AQ he might check to me but I think he should bet it alot. Which leaves his only pot controlling Ax Aj, which I block heavily.
Because of this I figured that betting twice to fold out KK-QQ would be profitable for whatever % of AQ i run into.
It becomes a lot worse if he has small suited aces he is squeezing with, but for normal villian I usually see a really tight high card oriented squeeze strat.
PokerStars - $1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: 148.3 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
MP: 95.4 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)
Hero (CO): 105.9 BB
BTN: 52.1 BB (VPIP: 56.25, PFR: 6.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
SB: 86.6 BB (VPIP: 6.25, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
BB: 159.6 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 31.25, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 16)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB,
BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J
J
fold,
fold,
Hero raises to 3 BB,
fold, SB calls 2.5 BB,
BB raises to 12 BB,
Hero calls 9 BB,
fold
Flop: (27 BB, 2 players) 9
A
8
BB checks,
Hero bets 13.5 BB,
BB calls 13.5 BB
Turn: (54 BB, 2 players) 9
BB checks,
Hero bets 27 BB,
BB calls 27 BB
River: (108 BB, 2 players) 4
BB checks,
Hero checks
Edit- I considered 4b for a bit, but decided I wanted a few more hands on him. Turn pairing 9 isn't a good bluffing card in general I think because it reduces my sets ect... but in my mind i was targeting a very narrow range of QQ-KK, AQ, which may have been a mistake