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Full House, Fold or Call River? Full House, Fold or Call River?

03-24-2015 , 10:07 PM
€1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

Villain is a multi-tabling reg. Usually sits at about 4-6 tables.
No history between us.

His Flop C-bet %: 74
Total AF: 4.85


MP: 167.31 BB (VPIP: 22.31, PFR: 17.62, 3Bet Preflop: 8.65, Hands: 1,292)
CO: 76.85 BB
Hero (BTN): 168.75 BB
SB: 102.45 BB
BB: 152.4 BB
UTG: 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9 9

fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) Q A Q
MP checks, Hero bets 3.75 BB, MP calls 3.75 BB

Turn: (15 BB, 2 players) 9
MP checks, Hero bets 9 BB, MP raises to 30 BB, Hero calls 21 BB

River: (75 BB, 2 players) 2
MP bets 60 BB, Hero ?

I can't see much he would be bluffing with here except KcKx, KcJx, or JcJx but I would say it's a bit of a long shot he would rock up with that here, surely my call of his C/R on the turn tells him I have trip Qs at a minimum?

Seems too nitty to fold but nothing we beat if we call.

Call or fold river and feedback on other streets would be great too.

Look forward to your valued comments.
03-25-2015 , 07:16 AM
I think you're at the top of your range.

AQ is all that beats you. Calling here and happy about it. If he has AQ so be it.....
03-25-2015 , 01:10 PM
I am not sure about flop bet ;/ what was your plan? ( I imagine it is profitable to stab one any 2 but still)
03-25-2015 , 01:39 PM
Obviously fold if you beat nothing by the river. I don't think that's the case though and I think you're way too close to the top of your range to explo fold here.

I think everything is played well, but I'd make the turn 11 or 12bb or 5 or 6bb to max value from Ax with a club or get calls from Ax no club. I'd Kean toward betting bigger on turn given your hand strength and lack of blockers.
03-25-2015 , 07:33 PM
Don't like the flop bet with this hand.
03-26-2015 , 01:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WithnoSenSe
I am not sure about flop bet ;/ what was your plan? ( I imagine it is profitable to stab one any 2 but still)
I decided to bet here smallish just to protect my hand a little from become beat on future streets. If he has any KT, KJ, TJ combo he makes straights and bigger pairs with lots of outs killing our hand.

I remember that I was close to checking but decided to bet smallish hoping for a gutser draw/high card call. (Probably a bit of a douche move as it only makes pot bigger which is what we don't want right now.)
03-26-2015 , 01:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Double_A
Obviously fold if you beat nothing by the river. I don't think that's the case though and I think you're way too close to the top of your range to explo fold here.

I think everything is played well, but I'd make the turn 11 or 12bb or 5 or 6bb to max value from Ax with a club or get calls from Ax no club. I'd Kean toward betting bigger on turn given your hand strength and lack of blockers.
Yes this makes a lot of sense.
03-26-2015 , 02:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by KITT 007
If he has any KT, KJ, TJ combo he makes straights and bigger pairs with lots of outs killing our hand.
if he cbets 70% he never has gutter or so
03-26-2015 , 05:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by .isolated
Don't like the flop bet with this hand.
Agreed.
03-27-2015 , 09:24 PM
Whats up KITT007

I agree with most of the other comments. I'm usually checking back flop here. I think when a V with a high C-bet checks on this type of flop they often have a low pp with only 2 outs on you, and could also be slowplaying a big hand. Either case checking is better.

And call me a donk, but I could never see my self folding river here.
03-29-2015 , 01:36 PM
Hand is well played. I'd probably fold river as well. Agree with OP on everything..
03-29-2015 , 08:36 PM
Never ever folding.
03-31-2015 , 01:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Money$Team
Whats up KITT007

I agree with most of the other comments. I'm usually checking back flop here. I think when a V with a high C-bet checks on this type of flop they often have a low pp with only 2 outs on you, and could also be slowplaying a big hand. Either case checking is better.

And call me a donk, but I could never see my self folding river here.
Makes a lot of sense, yes betting the flop was dumb.

      
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