Folding this river = too weak ? - Small Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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Folding this river = too weak ?

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11-28-2016 , 08:47 PM

zahrem

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 156

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37528383

BTN: $26.58 (106.3 bb)
SB: $49.66 (198.6 bb)
Hero (BB): $26.43 (105.7 bb)
UTG: $26.37 (105.5 bb)
MP: $15.28 (61.1 bb)
CO: $12.40 (49.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K

2 folds, CO raises to $0.75, BTN folds, SB calls $0.65, Hero calls $0.50

Flop: ($2.25) 3

(3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO bets $1.25, SB calls $1.25, Hero calls $1.25

Turn: ($6) 2

(3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($6) Q

(3 players)
SB bets $3.76, 2 folds

Spoiler:

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11-28-2016 , 08:49 PM

zahrem

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 156

The guy is a 25 nl solid reg, He doesnt call too many hands in the SB and didnt see too many possible bluffs + it was a 3way pot, thoughts on the fold ?

11-29-2016 , 02:50 AM

IClickButtons

old hand

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 1,613

If CO folds to a 3 bet too much, we may consider squeeze pre. As played, fold river

11-29-2016 , 07:33 PM

NoSurprises

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,869

SB is betting into two opponents and a Q is easily in his range here - he could have cb with backdoors, checks back the turn because the card doesn't help him but then catches TP on the river. Yeah he might bluff here some of the time and you all checked through to him twice in a row which gives him incentive to bluff.

I'd also look at his river bet stat here if you have enough of a sample.

11-29-2016 , 07:35 PM

zahrem

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 156

ty for your replys. Didnt consider playing KTo as a squeez in that pos but makes a lot of sense since everyone has a really high f3b.
NoSurprises the thing is Sb called a cbet in SB vs CO, he called oop and as I said he didnt call too many hands in SB.

Last edited by zahrem; 11-29-2016 at 07:41 PM.

11-29-2016 , 07:42 PM

NoSurprises

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,869

Wrong thread.

11-29-2016 , 07:45 PM

zahrem

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 156

Cold call open from SB = 7%
W$SD = 57%
AF river =2
Afreq = 48%
probe river = 33%

6k hands on him. If you guys think i should use other stats to analize better this spot please tell me.

11-30-2016 , 02:31 AM

Minatorr

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2016 Posts: 5,235

Call pre. River is probably a fold, as I don't think he has a ton of bluffs here other than Axcc. He has some Q in his range, and of course probably 77/33. I also expect a lot of his suited hands anyway like QJcc/Axcc to 3-bet pre from SB

01-20-2017 , 05:31 PM

jammit

enthusiast

Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 85

repping KQ or better... could have AQcc or KQcc

probly a fold without a queen when the cutoff is going to have so many queens

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