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Facing the classic bet check bet line Facing the classic bet check bet line

12-03-2016 , 10:22 AM
River is super close imo. What are you thinking?

Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - $1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 129.61 BB (VPIP: 29.82, PFR: 22.07, 3Bet Preflop: 8.20, Hands: 2,871)
Hero (UTG): 100 BB
MP: 115.33 BB (VPIP: 28.21, PFR: 16.49, 3Bet Preflop: 8.64, Hands: 201)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 55.00, PFR: 42.50, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 43)
BTN: 88.46 BB (VPIP: 29.41, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 17)
SB: 144.69 BB (VPIP: 30.77, PFR: 23.08, 3Bet Preflop: 40.00, Hands: 13)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8 8

Hero raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, BTN raises to 6 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 4 BB

Flop: (13.5 BB, 2 players) 4 9 2
Hero checks, BTN bets 8.55 BB, Hero calls 8.55 BB

Turn: (30.6 BB, 2 players) Q
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: (30.6 BB, 2 players) 3
Hero checks, BTN bets 19.38 BB, Hero ?
12-03-2016 , 01:06 PM
what bluffs are you assigning him here?
12-03-2016 , 05:32 PM
Think I'd just bluff shove here or fold. It's hard for him to be bluffing, as backdoor clubs or spades would just barrel the Q since it's a good card to barrel. Looks like he has JJ or 1010 for thin value bet, since you'd probably lead river with TP+.

Have any stats on him? I might not bluff shove since there's a big discrepancy in his VPIP/PFR, and he just might check strong hands OTT because he's passive.
12-03-2016 , 09:53 PM
I would call here. He is repping like maybe only KQ. I would assume AQ+ bet here most of the time. I don't know if players at this limit bet TT-JJ for value because hero is likely to take line XC X X with his Qx hands.

Last edited by shadowsky; 12-03-2016 at 10:09 PM.
12-07-2016 , 05:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Minatorr
Think I'd just bluff shove here or fold. It's hard for him to be bluffing, as backdoor clubs or spades would just barrel the Q since it's a good card to barrel. Looks like he has JJ or 1010 for thin value bet, since you'd probably lead river with TP+.

Have any stats on him? I might not bluff shove since there's a big discrepancy in his VPIP/PFR, and he just might check strong hands OTT because he's passive.
+1

      
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