villain 28/19- cb 56,38,47%,
I've seen him make some crazy bluffs even multi way when flush board comes etc. but has been playing pretty straight up against me.

Normally don't have much of a sb call range. Small blind was crazy passive and I had 3b villain already a couple of times so went with call.

Pretty sure I'm beat otr. Not sure about turn decision. I have blockers so draw less likely.


Hero (SB): $58.35 (116.7 bb)
BB: $45.20 (90.4 bb)
UTG+1: $46.05 (92.1 bb)
UTG+2: $37.05 (74.1 bb)
MP1: $18.31 (36.6 bb)
MP2: $71.32 (142.6 bb)
MP3: $19.50 (39 bb)
CO: $58.97 (117.9 bb)
BTN: $25.56 (51.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J Q
5 folds, CO raises to $1.75, BTN folds, Hero calls $1.50, BB folds

Flop: ($4) J 4 T (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $3, Hero calls $3

Turn: ($10) T (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $10, Hero calls $10

River: ($30) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $44.22 and is all-in, Hero ?

Its super close. U need 59%. Heres the range I gave him:
7 combos of Ahigh flush
3 combos of lower flush
16 C's of boats
10 C's of air/hands turned into bluff
and ur around 48%

The range I assigned him is probably on the conservative side, given his history of bluffing on flush boards, so I could get behind either calling or folding here, I really think its super close. I'm curious about results for this 1 after u get a few more replies

Think having all QJ combos in your 3b range is preferable in this spot. Definitely too good to fold, but not a good enough hand to voluntarily play OOP without the initiative.

His river overbet jam should be polarised. Ace high flush at the absolute worst but very weighted towards full houses for value, this would make sense with his turn sizing. So our flush is essentially a bluffcatcher in a spot where i don't think we have enough reason to think he's bluffing. I'm ok giving this up.

Then you need to adjust for it being full ring and he's right around 4.8% instead.

OP, I read your reasoning for not 3-betting. 3-bet pre.

So... If we have 55% equity we should fold? Wut? Don't know what form of poker you're playing mate, but it's not the one I am.

OP, I don't know what your preflop calling range is like, but this hand should be close to the top otr, since we pretty much never have FH or a better flush. Also our blockers are good. I'd call by default.

Btw, I don't expect him to ever value bet worse flush.

Also, I don't hate having some calling range on the SB pre, and if you have it, JQs should be a part of it some of the time imo.

you block TJ and some AQss, AJss.

I'm not folding.

Did u construct ur own range and end up with 55% ?