Quote:
Originally Posted by Scarmaker
Since the pot is so huge already, I honestly do not see any reason why we should consider anything else than betting with the plan of stacking off - there are more hands we are ahead of than we are behind of and we do not want to give them chance to improve for free/lose value if scare card comes up on the turn.
We are not expecting anyone to have KK/QQ here, against hands that are ahead of us we have quite decent equity (against range consisting of KQ, KJ, QJ, AT and JJ we have 30%) and the fish might easily stack off with AK/AQ/KT/QT/JT/TT against us here.
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I did not think of a scare card on the turn losing value for us. However, I still think that there is value in check/ship because the reg may bet at the fish but not call us. I realize that if its checked around it is a bad thing, but I am seriously wondering if it is worth the risk in this spot.
Also, what if we had top set in this spot, would a check seem better?