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97o missed oesd, bluff vs rec? 97o missed oesd, bluff vs rec?

05-23-2017 , 07:01 AM
Villain is a new player. Haven't seen him before, no reliable stats yet.
Lately I've been raising these turns where I have plenty of equity vs weaker players.
Then we get to the awkward river spot, where we don't beat anything. I guess we could say at least Q7 beats J7/T7/97 etc.
I think we have 2 sizing options here. If we bet 1/3 I think we can get called really light by any pair, Ahi (A7) would fold I guess.
We could also bet really big and try to rep the 3x, and therefore get villain to fold his 6x type hand that he peeled with.
If he would only call draws OTT, then I think it's a sweet spot to get him off from those hands.
I think with ½ pot, we may get some weak pair to fold, and also it's cheap enough to get K7/A7/Q7/J7/T7/97 and all the FD's (Ahi Khi Qhi Jhi Thi 9hi)
So do you guys like this line? I went for ½ pot > 1/3 for the reasons mentioned. Maybe 1/3 might induce some random bluff as well.
This is actually a 400nl hand, but posting it here since mid stakes forum seems dead. From my experience, turn raises get a lot of respect from weaker players, they don't just randomly whale it off, but put more thought into their decisions. This rec was playing slowly and somewhat conservative.

Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 93.49 BB
CO: 178.5 BB
Hero (BTN): 104.1 BB
SB: 168.75 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7 9

fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, SB calls 2 BB, BB calls 1.5 BB

Flop: (7.5 BB, 3 players) 5 2 6
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (7.5 BB, 3 players) 4
SB checks, BB bets 4 BB, Hero raises to 15 BB, fold, BB calls 11 BB

River: (37.5 BB, 2 players) 2
BB checks, Hero bets 18.75 BB,

Last edited by Fishtankz; 05-23-2017 at 07:07 AM.
05-23-2017 , 05:16 PM
I would fold pre, I don't think there's a lot of value in playing 97o against new players. The flop will miss the small blind a lot of the time and the big blinds range should be wide enough, so I definitely think that 2 overs and a gutshot is strong enough to bet here and on this runout is probably a good candidate to triple barrel. You can credibly rep sets or straights playing this way and don't block any missed flushes. I'm not sure you really rep anything other than a 3 given the line you've taken. I guess betting the river is ok with the nut low and the sizing is about right, I can't imagine he'll fold too many pairs, even if you bomb it here, so trying to get him off his missed draws is best.
05-23-2017 , 05:52 PM
Yeah, pre is just too ambitious with not too many solid reads. Also, if you are opening the BTN too wide, the blinds are going to 3-bet you more aggressively. Especially if the SB is an aggro reg.

Would just start with a flop bet. We opened pre & have 9 high on this board. We have decent equity against their continuing ranges.

OTR, we should probably use a slightly bigger sizing since we're pretty polarized here. He still has some pairs in his range, and I don't think he's folding them vs 1/2 PSB. Prob go 65%-70ish%.

OTT, I think his continuing range is super inelastic and we can get away with a smaller raise sizing, like 12BB.

      
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