so i overbet river cause i thought his range was pretty capped and its a decent river to bluff. anyone raising flop here? or should i have bet turn?

Pacific $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2803394
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: $50.00 - VPIP: 51, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 2.4, Hands: 152
Hero (MP): $65.44 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 22, 3B: 9, AF: 2.3, Hands: 20798
CO: $17.82 - VPIP: 57, PFR: 8, 3B: 5, AF: 1.9, Hands: 75
BTN: $139.98 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 8, 3B: 2, AF: 1.6, Hands: 1146
SB: $63.71 - VPIP: 50, PFR: 3, 3B: 3, AF: 0.8, Hands: 76
BB: $112.95 - VPIP: 41, PFR: 14, 3B: 5, AF: 2.3, Hands: 315

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is MP with A Q
UTG checks, Hero raises to $2.25, 1 fold, BTN calls $2.25, SB calls $2, BB calls $1.75, UTG calls $2.25

Flop: ($11.25) 4 7 3 (5 players)
SB bets $11.25, BB folds, UTG folds, Hero calls $11.25, BTN folds

Turn: ($33.75) T (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($33.75) K (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $42.25, SB calls $42.25

Seems like spew don't bluff the fish

prefer flop raise or turn bet to the river stab.

Probably if you can't raise the flop, because you think he is only leading into this massive field with a huge hand, then you can't even call. Flush is only going to get there roughly 1/5 times on the turn. So you are getting 2:1 on a 4:1 against draw. Although we might have some implied odds here if he is indeed massive. On the other hand if he is pretty aggressive and you think he has a lot of one pair hands you can fairly comfortably put it in, since a lot of the time you will take it down or get it in good and you always have equity.

Raising flop is a great idea, because we get avoid the issue of facing another potbet ott when we don't improve. If he's donking a lower flushdraw (or air?), not raising is obviously a disaster because we could easily end up folding the best hand ott (when we could have gotten the money in with a huge equity advantage).
We're doing well against the other parts of his range anyway.

The only slight issue with that is we're 130bb deep vs btn who hasn't acted yet, so we'll give him an easy decision by raising, and unfortunately be commited if he comes over the top.

He shouldn't have AQhh in bad shape too often though, and he's playing 26/8 after all so meh.

x river imo

There's $33 in the pot and villain has shown no strength, betting can't be too bad there. I actually prefer a value bet bluff here.

What?

A bet 1/2 to 2/3 pot, makes Hero look less polarized. I think it folds out same amount of what villain would call with, without risking the extra money. Basically a bet that looks like a value bet, that's a bluff.

Seems like an obvious call, check, check to me with just the reads you have.

You're making me feel dumb lol

Either raise flop or check back turn and river.

raising this hand looks way less optimal then calling. This dude is passive fish that is donking into 5 players, even fish don't do that that light. Getting it in with this hand in this spot looks bad to me and calling and playing IP with this hand looks way better to me.

and yes, I know we only have 76 hands on him

+1

I really don't mind raising the donk btw, think the sizing is pretty awkward to call.

+1