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Originally Posted by DiceyPlay
Thanks. I don't want to come off facetious or flippant - but somehow I often do. Sorry.
If I'm deep stacked and my FD could easily be dominated when playing 16 ways, isn't that a reason to NEVER play 35s oop? It seems like you're suggesting a deep stack is necessary to play this hand. I think, or for me, FD's are one of the hardest to sniff out. You really have to be aware of card removal and player tendencies (betting and raising to protect when you're strong but vulnerable). Flushes are hard to make but boards often end up with a flush possible.
I'm just pointing out the multiple cons to playing the hand. You said 35s has implied odds and I'm saying you're not deep enough to have implied odds matter and even if you were deep enough, it's probably still a fold. Assuming you're 100bbs deep, you pretty much have to hit a straight or a flush to win because if you flop 2p, trips and get all-in, your equity is never going to be good as you'll be against a better 2p/better trips/set/combo draw the overwhelming majority of the time.
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This was a 7 way pot and I was covered by most of the other players. 50*7 to 3 is great implied odds.
This math only works if you get all-in vs. everyone in the pot, have the best hand, and hold. It's very flawed. You're getting 49 (taking away your sb) to 3 against each player which is 16.33:1 and not nearly enough. When you're IP and with a hand like T8s and you're strictly looking at implied odds, you'd want 25:1. As a basic rule of thumb for implied odds, it's:
Pocket pairs: 10:1
Suited Connectors: 20:1
Suited One Gappers: 25:1
Of course I typed all that before reading your next sentence:
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Not that I expect to turn my $50 stack into $350 when I hit but the immediate odds of 25 to 3 plus the implied odds I thought justified a call.
I think I addressed this enough above.
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I think a check on the turn could easily end up with a check through. Then a completed flush on the river sets up a great stealing opportunity for the in position player.
It could happen but it's a great card to bluff for the other players especially if they're on a draw. If that stealing opportunity comes for him, you make a decision on what to do then, and make the best one possible.
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There was $48 in the pot when the turn came and action was on me. Betting $12 like I did gave opponents with a FD better than even money odds to call.
It seems like you realize now that you shouldn't give them even money on a call. You want to force your opponents to make mistakes, that's how we make money. Betting something like $20 is silly. The pot will be $108 and you'll have $21 left behind. When you're leaving so little in your stack compared to the size of the pot, you should shove. Even $12 is silly as you have an $84 pot with $29 left behind which is why a shove makes so much more sense.