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25NL Is this play -EV? 25NL Is this play -EV?

02-28-2015 , 08:52 PM
partypoker - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (CO): $25.00
BTN: $27.96 (VPIP: 91.67, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 13)
SB: $9.03 (VPIP: 72.09, PFR: 2.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 43)
BB: $46.04 (VPIP: 45.45, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 22)
UTG: $24.65 (VPIP: 38.33, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 61)
MP: $36.15 (VPIP: 18.59, PFR: 12.82, 3Bet Preflop: 3.57, Hands: 318)

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has T 9

fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.75, BTN calls $0.75, SB calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($3.00, 4 players) 7 8 3
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $1.89, BTN calls $1.89, fold, BB raises to $10.40, Hero raises to $24.25 and is all-in, fold, BB calls $13.85

Turn: ($53.39, 2 players) 7

River: ($53.39, 2 players) A

BB shows K K (Two Pair, Kings and Sevens)
(Pre 84%, Flop 66%, Turn 82%)
Hero mucks T 9 (One Pair, Sevens)
(Pre 16%, Flop 34%, Turn 18%)
BB wins $50.43

Is this play -EV. I know calling to peel one card is bad. Will this raise work against most players? I am pretty sure I'm repping top pair or better and oe straight draw. What are your thoughts? Opponent is 45/18/9. Fold>Raise>Call

Last edited by AK89; 02-28-2015 at 09:08 PM.
02-28-2015 , 09:40 PM
Fold
02-28-2015 , 09:42 PM
terrible
bb is never folding and you need ~48% to get it in, which you obviously don't have with T hgih.
02-28-2015 , 10:43 PM
This is pretty spewy.
03-02-2015 , 05:11 AM
No.
03-02-2015 , 07:18 AM
fold it!
03-02-2015 , 01:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ForeverLearning
terrible
bb is never folding and you need ~48% to get it in, which you obviously don't have with T hgih.
Can you explain the math you did to realize you need 48% equity?
03-02-2015 , 01:42 PM
amount to call divided by final pot

24.25/50.43
03-02-2015 , 01:53 PM
As bad as it gets.
03-03-2015 , 12:26 AM
Don't cbet this flop, dont think his raise is anything but crushing you, don't jam, as your equity is faaaar beneath his calling range and you have ZERO fold equity.

      
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