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200NL AK 3 bet Pot against fish 200NL AK 3 bet Pot against fish

07-30-2014 , 08:26 PM
Villain is playing 54/14 over 220 hands. Do you barrel here as he will be calling flop with a wide range and we pick up equity? If we barrel how much and how are we going to react to shove?

Poker Stars, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players


MP: $202 (101 bb)
BTN: $200 (100 bb)
Hero (BB): $200 (100 bb)
UTG: $255.02 (127.5 bb)
SB: $389.16 (194.6 bb)
CO: $200 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A K
3 folds, BTN raises to $5, SB folds, Hero raises to $20, BTN calls $15

Flop: ($41) 5 6 Q (2 players)
Hero bets $25, BTN calls $25

Turn: ($91) T (2 players)
07-31-2014 , 08:44 AM
Ehh he calls pretty wide preflop it may mean he doesn't have much of a fold button.

Any stats on fold to cbet? I mean I don't hate it as I think we can barell any diamond, J, maybe A or K for value. Possibly a Q if he can't hand read.

I think the flop cbet is just a tad too big for this flop. I'm betting an amount on the turn that allows me to maximize fold equity on the river while not inducing. $40-45 maybe? Should leave $110ish on the river into $170-180ish.

Really going to depend if villain has a fold button.
07-31-2014 , 09:06 AM
Barreling off against someone you have no reads on that clearly loves calling probably isnt the best idea. That being said, a club turn is probably the better part of your range to do this with
07-31-2014 , 09:08 AM
Flop bet is a tad too thin imo
07-31-2014 , 09:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TWhelan
Flop bet is a tad too thin imo
+1 thought I was being nitty so didn't post.
07-31-2014 , 10:02 AM
I agree with cbet on flop (dry board,HUpot) but i would bet less(40-50% pot).As played I would barrel on this turn.Maybe c/s if I had more specific stats about villain.
07-31-2014 , 12:58 PM
c/r flop gets way more folds from this guy after PF action(with plan of Jamming some clubs and Ks OTT). I'd be careful with a turned Ace as it make him 2p sometimes.
07-31-2014 , 01:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jewrilla
c/r flop gets way more folds from this guy after PF action(with plan of Jamming some clubs and Ks OTT). I'd be careful with a turned Ace as it make him 2p sometimes.
I disagree. First villain is loose preflop but we don't know anything about his postflop tendencies. Maybe he never bets when checked to without a Q.

Second you have no idea if he's going to fold any pair once he bets it.

Third A or K could easily give villain 2 pair with pretty equal probability i would say (that doesn't mean I wouldn't bet them both).
07-31-2014 , 01:23 PM
I should of noted that villain called down with 2nd pair to river on A823 board a while before this hand and binked 8 when I went for value on river with AK. He then checked called with 8To. I am leaning towards just checking and giving up, but I somewhat thought he would fold most 6's, 77,88,99.
07-31-2014 , 01:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by just_grindin
I disagree. First villain is loose preflop but we don't know anything about his postflop tendencies. Maybe he never bets when checked to without a Q.

Second you have no idea if he's going to fold any pair once he bets it.

Third A or K could easily give villain 2 pair with pretty equal probability i would say (that doesn't mean I wouldn't bet them both).
I'm not feeling bad if flop checks through. maybe he hits a 2nd best hand with us on future streets. I still think Ax hands are more likely than Kx. I don't know frequency OTF, but I feel he can easily call down mid pairs vs standard C-bet looking lines. where as 3-bet pre, c/r flop folds out mid pairs way more.
07-31-2014 , 01:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jewrilla
I'm not feeling bad if flop checks through. maybe he hits a 2nd best hand with us on future streets. I still think Ax hands are more likely than Kx. I don't know frequency OTF, but I feel he can easily call down mid pairs vs standard C-bet looking lines. where as 3-bet pre, c/r flop folds out mid pairs way more.
Yea I don't care if the flop checks through either what I'm saying is villain may be so passive that he only bets when checked to with a much stronger range than you expect, so c/r may be lighting money on fire (we don't really know).
07-31-2014 , 01:35 PM
The problem I have with checking the flop is what is my plan? I am going to check call flop and fold to most turns that don't improve my hand? I just find it very hard for me to check call this hand down OOP 2 or 3 street with AK.
07-31-2014 , 01:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by thenextlevel1
The problem I have with checking the flop is what is my plan? I am going to check call flop and fold to most turns that don't improve my hand? I just find it very hard for me to check call this hand down OOP 2 or 3 street with AK.
X/give up. Maybe bet certain runouts for value if villain calls A/K high and things check through on the flop. That's still probably not good as he may check back a lot of hands here that are ahead of you just looking to get to showdown.

I mean this villain is calling flop/turn with 6x, 77-JJ, Qx, etc. which is perfect when you're value betting but garbage when you're bluffing.

Even with an A on the flop in the hand you shared he called 2 streets with T8o. Surprised you even bothered cbetting this hand here.
07-31-2014 , 02:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by just_grindin
what I'm saying is villain may be so passive that he only bets when checked to with a much stronger range than you expect, so c/r may be lighting money on fire (we don't really know).
Fair enough, probably true.

with the hand history you provided later, I agree c/fold unless his bet is very small is prob best (despite feeling disgusting).

Hero really needs to observe what kinds of hands he's betting for a better plan in future hands.
07-31-2014 , 03:37 PM
So in a 3 bet pot against this villain we only c bet if we hit an A or K and maybe TJ, TQ and QJ? In hand in where he called two street he had 2nd pair. 6's, 77,88,99 become 3rd pair on the turn in this hand.
07-31-2014 , 03:42 PM
what's the point if he never folds? just clam up and value bet, and you can still bet boards like (6 3 3) for value etc.
07-31-2014 , 05:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by thenextlevel1
So in a 3 bet pot against this villain we only c bet if we hit an A or K and maybe TJ, TQ and QJ? In hand in where he called two street he had 2nd pair. 6's, 77,88,99 become 3rd pair on the turn in this hand.
Isolate hime more and value bet thin. Easy game.
07-31-2014 , 06:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by just_grindin
X/give up. Maybe bet certain runouts for value if villain calls A/K high and things check through on the flop. That's still probably not good as he may check back a lot of hands here that are ahead of you just looking to get to showdown.

I mean this villain is calling flop/turn with 6x, 77-JJ, Qx, etc. which is perfect when you're value betting but garbage when you're bluffing.

Even with an A on the flop in the hand you shared he called 2 streets with T8o. Surprised you even bothered cbetting this hand here.
+1

Looks like fold equity is zero against this villian. You shouldn't be cbetting with Ace high. Wait for better spots.
07-31-2014 , 06:56 PM
The reason why I cbet the flop was because I thought checking would allow him to bet with weaker aces and other garbage that if I called the flop he would keep betting with nothing.
07-31-2014 , 07:36 PM
If villain does this, firing again seems like some serious dumping. You should bet a little less on the flop too, and just give up UI
07-31-2014 , 08:02 PM
x/c flop and x/f turn unimproved

x/r flop is awful
07-31-2014 , 08:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jewrilla
c/r flop gets way more folds from this guy after PF action(with plan of Jamming some clubs and Ks OTT). I'd be careful with a turned Ace as it make him 2p sometimes.
ooooh i find fish insta call cr then fold to the barrel....I dont want to commit to such a plan. fish will make the mistake of not value betting...lets let him make that mistake and check

this board cant get ugly enough for fish to fold tp n flop...so barreling is out of the question

id bet less than 1/2 pot here if i was betting
07-31-2014 , 08:31 PM
check flop

      
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