are we raising or calling the turn and why?

you definitely gotta raise either to know how strong he is and to get some value from your two pair.

the J complete a few combos but not much likely he has completed the straight.

your biggest concern here is a set but his bet sizes into this drawing board isn't making it much likely.

I think call is poor because the river card can completely stop action or even complete his draw.

so I'd raise and see what happens.

any reads? readless i don't think it matters too much.

He raised from MP so probably doesn't have KTo in his range. I think we should raise almost all our strong hands here considering the board texture.

He doesn't have that many hands that will want to continue vs a raise, and the ones that do will be able to play the rivers we don't like extremely well IP.

Edit: He'll generally fold those hands on the river too (when he doesn't improve). And be unlikely to bluff them on blanks when checked to.

i would raise here.

get tons of value from like KQ, J10x, Any flush. OESD LIKE 78. Its a tough position for the PFR to be in and it maximizes value IMO.

3 bet pre imo.

You think that villian will call a raise with KQ, AQ type a hand? And also are we happy to gii ott?

as played, x/c, x/c, x/c

3bet imo like yoshimii said

I think turn is a flat.

So normally I would be 3-betting this pre, but i think because this dude is unknown its not so bad to just flat. Its even less bad (but still a little bad) if he is unknown but you are a grinder (as in, you play these stakes all the time so new players are more likley to be fish) cuz they are even less likely to fold. regardless i would like a 3-bet pre here, but its not as bad as if this guy was a well known reg.

I think turn is a raise fo sho. So many draws are calling. Raise small is fine just set up for river shove with a good price to call. if he repops it all in just instacall

it's just too hard to balance an SB calling range imo

You should really be raising all your strong hands/draws on the flop so what are you really repping on the turn?

In practice I can't see him calling anything worse on the turn with these positions so you are just raising to protect your hand

I'd raise the turn to setup a river shove on safe runouts.

Ideally I really think you need to mix in flatting AK and AA occasionally if you want a profitable flatting range here MP vs SB. I think it's fine to flat against btn and probably most cutoff opens also if BB is straight-forward tho.

Turn is an easy flat imo.