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100nl (converted hand) missed draw on the river, what should my bluffing range be? 100nl (converted hand) missed draw on the river, what should my bluffing range be?

10-21-2016 , 11:22 AM
    $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

    SB: $217.67 (108.8 bb)
    BB: $304.44 (152.2 bb)
    CO: $199.64 (99.8 bb)
    Hero (BTN): $390 (195 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BTN with 7 T
    CO folds, Hero raises to $4, SB calls $3, BB calls $2

    Flop: ($12) 8 2 9 (3 players)
    SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $6, SB raises to $22, BB folds, Hero calls $16

    Turn: ($56) 8 (2 players)
    SB bets $27, Hero calls $27

    River: ($110) 3 (2 players)
    SB bets $66, Hero


    BB is a fish; SB is a reg that seems on the passive side, 22/16 5% 3bet, c/raise 8% in 3k hands

    Not sure about his range here, I'm thinking overpairs that don't 3bet pre are more likely to check river and 8x is not likely to c/rs so he seems polarized to me. But not sure how many bluffs he can have

    How much do you think I should bluff here, and is this hand good enough? I am blocking some of his draws unfortunately but any hand I can think of does that.
    10-21-2016 , 12:28 PM
    I think this hand is very very close and I think we should fold but shove the club and heart versions. I'm going to assume your flop and turn strategy is to call your entire continuing range which is seems good with these stacks. On river, assuming we don't shove 22 which seems reasonable, we have 10 comboes of 98/88/99 and are laying him roughly 3.5:1 on a call if we ship, which equates to us shoving roughly 20% as bluffs. Taking a look at our range, I think we mostly fold 76 on that specific turn so T7 is our lowest straight draw. We only block 1 combo of JTs here as opposed to 2 if we use our own JT to bluff here. We also have no diamond in our hands. The rest of our range looks like overpaid/9x bluff catchers.

    Since we only need 2 comboes of bluffs, I'd fold the spades because it blocks backdoor spades like ATs/QTs that he may choose to check raise bluff the flop with.
    10-21-2016 , 04:05 PM
    Unless you play everyday with each other, I don't think you necessarily need one. Doubt he's folding any of his value hands here, and he's not going to have a bluff often enough to make your shove +EV.
    10-22-2016 , 09:01 AM
    Fold turn
    10-23-2016 , 04:46 AM
    Dont bluff anything agaisnt a fish. Thats just stupid! Fold river and go on
    10-23-2016 , 05:45 PM
    If you think he have polarized range otr why you want to have bluffing range?He is going to fold air and call with nuts.
    10-24-2016 , 11:58 PM
    This is a problem for a software, but in general, just fold turn, against a field our turn call should be miniscule really.
    10-25-2016 , 08:39 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by eoin16
    Fold turn
    This. Not even close.
    10-26-2016 , 11:22 AM
    My god, calling that turn bet is insane.
    10-27-2016 , 09:13 AM
    easy fold turn
    10-27-2016 , 09:46 PM
    Do you think fold otf is too weak?
    10-28-2016 , 02:03 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by BlackFire
    Do you think fold otf is too weak?
    Yes, I think so

          
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