I didn't consider he would bet a Q(not because i didn't think he would, just didn't occur to me at the time for some reason).
Though i do remember times when they checked back toppair.
I guess checking isn't such a bad option then, what sizing would you make it if he bet say 1/2pot($7)?
Originally Posted by PeoplesElbow
agree with that, but if we add up his qx combos and missed draw combos (Bluffs) that he bets on the river, its going to be more then just the Qx combos that he calls a river bet with.
I dont know what the theory or math behind that would be to decide whats more optimal .
At a guess id say his range looks something like this:
Qx: KQ-Q8, Q7s-Q2s=73c
Lower pairs: 99-66(24c) A6h-96h 86s 76 63s(23c) A5 K5s J5s T5s 95s 85s 75s 65s 53s(36c)=83c
Missed draws(FD/A3 A2): 48c
+a few hands that beat us.
But no idea on what the guy's bluffing frequency would be on the river, so i couldn't say either.