Quote:
Originally Posted by SeaKing
Betting river would be a value bet not a bluff lol.
"LOLOLololololOLLOL!!!1111" <<
Pretty much the only hand that I can beat here is a random Jack and Queens with a worse kicker.
Maybe I didn't come across clearly the first time. I am not certain, what to do on the turn and then (depending on the turn) on the river. The orignal plan was to bluff the river (in case I don't improve) to potentially fold out QJ, Q2 and J2. I didn't follow through with that plan, because I have showdown value against failed draws and the better hands aren't likely to fold.
What I learned from this hand/discussion
- My opponent will have way less deuces (and 4s) and way more overpairs in his range than I originally thought. This is, because he is not the "usual" PLO2 guy that calls with any 4 cards, but a pretty tight player.
- While I consider him to be weak/tight doesn't mean, he is stupid. Clearly, I won't have many deuces (and 4s) either. So, when I am betting the turn this size, I am basically turning my hand face up.
This happens to me a lot/too much, I think like okay, I need to protect my hand against the flushdraw. When in truth nobody will ever fold a flushdraw to that size anyways and by betting too small I take away a lot of the credibilty of a potential riverbluff.
- All things considered, I prefer a turncheck followed by a rivercall/check to my previous play. This way I give him the opportunity to bluff with some of his failed draws and lose the same amount, when he decides to bet his Kings. I still wouldn't really want to bet this river, because I think, It is hard to get called by worse Queens or random Jacks, especially from this player.
Last edited by Caterina; 05-25-2017 at 12:06 AM.
Reason: Typo /additional thoughts