@ rei, didn't read your posts yet when i made that. Great post. One thing to note on your first equity example is that the 3567 combo already has 5bb in, so if he realises those equities it would be solidly plus EV. If BTN and CO are more high card then low card heavy (seems like a fair assumption), than the situation gets better for you.
Only (major) problem in that equity simulation, is that in a aaxx and 4% range, never is another low rundown included. And i've experienced it regularly that one of the guys makes the same thought process or is just on tilt or whatever. And being with 3567, 5678 and aaxx is ofcourse terrible
By the way, it's also really good for your image to call that hand of pre. And can sometimes put people on tilt
My biggest pot i've luckboxed on stars was a low rundown preflop allin. Don't like my first call form the sb there, but the second one is mandatory. Was really plus EV situation there for me, despite a 89tj in there and a 4 and 6 out.
http://www.highstakesdb.com/view-han...GameID=1131884