I come up with needing 31%.

+1

i'm betting this hand otf too because we get value and balance since we bet this board nearly 100% of the time this hand is near top of range so....i think betting is good here if villain is good and can c/r smaller with bluffs (how should we adjust vs pot c/r style?)

but am not sure what to do when villain barrels off on most cards so would like to hear why lemay likes betting and what good situation it brings....

about 30% of turn cards are favorable (club/house). i say check flop and stab turn if it goes thru. b/f sucks, b/r sucks cuz u get it in behind.

i'm drunk right now but 31% is better than 2 to 1 and from a quick drunk glance we don't get nearly as good as 2 to 1 on a shove. we're almost 100b deep with btn with "only" 6$ = 24bb dead money in pot.

edit: are u talking about needing 31% for calling?

Yeah after I posted I realized that you were talking about shipping...

nevermind.